yoda

And it's 3-0 Penguins already

Guess this is what happens when 21z OUN sounding has ML Lapse Rates at 9 C/KM URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 159 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 500 PM CDT Fri Apr 29 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwestern, central and northern Oklahoma * Effective this Friday afternoon from 500 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Isolated supercells are expected to develop and move away from the dryline over the remainder of the afternoon. Any sustained storm(s) could offer tornadoes (potentially significant/EF2+), very large/damaging hail, and locally severe gusts. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles northeast of Ponca City OK to 35 miles south southeast of Fort Sill OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 157...WW 158... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector 24030. ...Edwards

Never seen 5 inch hail mentioned in a watch before... TW #159 for majority of Oklahoma says just that

Lol Capitals blown out by the Islanders 5-1. Penguins hold a one point lead over the Capitals for the 3rd division seed still. The Penguins just need to get to OT vs CBJ - or win in any fashion - to clinch the 3rd seed and play the Rangers in the first round. Capitals would play Florida if this were to happen. Penguins would have to lose in regulation to CBJ and the Capitals win in any fashion against the Rangers tomorrow for them to be the 3rd seed and play the Rangers and the Penguins would be relegated to being WC2 and play Florida

I know... just seems like the Capitals are figuring its better for him to just rest up and heal for Game 1

I guess the Capitals are resting Ovie for the playoffs... but they look totally different without him out there playing

So a first round exit you mean

Afternoon AFD suggests next Tuesday may be our first chance at severe again

Yay? URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 233 PM EDT Tue Apr 26 2022 MDZ003>005-503-505-VAZ025>031-038>040-050-051-501-502-505-507-508- WVZ051>053-270245- /O.NEW.KLWX.FZ.A.0003.220428T0500Z-220428T1200Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northwest Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page- Warren-Clarke-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper- Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Morgan- Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Germantown, Damascus, Lisbon, Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Strasburg, Woodstock, Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Stanardsville, Madison, Washington, Orange, Gordonsville, Culpeper, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Big Meadows, Wintergreen, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 233 PM EDT Tue Apr 26 2022 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 32 possible. * WHERE...Portions of north-central Maryland, the eastern panhandle of West Virginia, and the central and northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Shenandoah Valley and Piedmont. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through Thursday morning. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

Looks like it had a really nice hail core too for a while

It looks like it probably is going to come down to tiebreaker between our teams... if we have same number of points it goes to regulation wins and then if still tied, regulation and overtime wins. As of this morning, both teams have 35 regulation wins, so tied there. 2nd tiebreaker Penguins have, 41 to 39 over the Capitals, which is ROW). WSH has vs TOR/vs NYI/@ NYI/@NYR left PIT has @ DET/@ PHI/vs EDM/vs CBJ left Don't forget about Boston either... they also have 99 points but have 1st WC position right now due to one less game played. They play the Rangers today at 3pm. Boston currently has 36 regulation wins... so if WSH and BOS tie at end of season on points, Boston would get #1 WC and WSH would be #2 WC. If WSH and BOS were to tie on points and regulation wins, Boston wins 2nd tiebreaker of ROW 45-39

Lol Sunday mid 80s and then Wednesday upper 50s for highs

Impressive amounts for mid-April Public Information Statement Spotter Reports National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 602 PM EDT Mon Apr 18 2022 The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 8 hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation is extended to cooperative and CoCoRaHS observers, Skywarn spotters and media for these reports. This summary also is available on our home page at weather.gov/baltimore ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL MEASURED (inches) MARYLAND ...Allegany County... Frostburg 6.0 220 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Frostburg 2 ESE 6.0 119 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Ridgeley 1 W 5.0 500 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Ridgeley 1 NW 4.8 235 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Cumberland 1 SSE 4.4 200 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Cresaptown SSW 3.6 200 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter La Vale W 3.0 100 PM 4/18 From MDOT at Lavalle ...Carroll County... Manchester 2 NW T 422 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Frederick County... Thurmont 3 N 3.5 500 PM 4/18 NWS Employee Middletown 1 SSW 0.2 200 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Garrett County... Warnocks 2 NNW 3.0 115 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Grantsville 5 W 2.0 300 PM 4/18 Dept of Highways Deer Park 6 NE 1.7 600 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Howard County... Marriottsville 2 SSW T 1100 AM 4/18 NWS Employee Scaggsville 1 ENE T 1112 AM 4/18 NWS Employee Columbia T 1055 AM 4/18 NWS Employee ...Montgomery County... Washington Grove 1 N T 1118 AM 4/18 Trained Spotter Laytonsville 2 WNW T 1038 AM 4/18 sleet Damascus 3 SSW T 410 PM 4/18 Co-Op Observer Gaithersburg 1 WNW T 1030 AM 4/18 sleet ...Washington County... Hancock 1 ESE 3.0 330 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Pecktonville 3 NNW 2.5 310 PM 4/18 NWS Employee Sabillasville 2 NNW 2.0 145 PM 4/18 CoCoRaHS Boonsboro 3 NNE 1.8 400 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Hagerstown 1 ENE 1.2 400 PM 4/18 CoCoRaHS VIRGINIA ...Albemarle County... Monticello 2 NNE T 115 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Augusta County... Fishersville 1 NE 0.5 125 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Fairfax County... Chantilly 2 ENE T 1100 AM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Frederick County... Hayfield 1 NE 3.5 445 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Cross Junction 1 WSW 3.1 545 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Hayfield 1 N 2.4 130 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Winchester 4 E 1.0 150 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Stephens City 2 E 0.6 200 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Highland County... Hightown 3 NW 3.3 1252 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Hightown 3 WNW 2.5 330 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Monterey 2.5 342 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Loudoun County... Round Hill 1 WNW 2.9 430 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Purcellville 1.6 330 PM 4/18 NWS Employee Hillsboro 3 NW 1.5 330 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Dulles International T 200 PM 4/18 Airport ...Madison County... Big Meadows 1 SSE 6.0 340 PM 4/18 Park/Forest Srvc ...Page County... Ida 1 SW 4.0 330 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Honeyville 1 ESE 1.3 230 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Prince William County... Woolsey 1 SW T 1015 AM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Rappahannock County... Chester Gap 5.0 420 PM 4/18 Public Sperryville 2 SE 1.0 1152 AM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Rockingham County... Bridgewater 2 E 2.0 200 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Dale Enterprise 1 ES 1.0 1200 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Warren County... Karo 1 WSW 1.9 320 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Riverton 1 WNW 1.8 410 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Linden 3 W 0.3 1220 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter WEST VIRGINIA ...Berkeley County... Bunker Hill SE 3.1 345 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Martinsburg 2 E 3.1 400 PM 4/18 NWS Employee Winebrenners Cross 4 2.5 340 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Grant County... Mount Storm 2 SSW 5.2 330 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Petersburg 1.0 1138 AM 4/18 Co-Op Observer ...Hardy County... Fisher 3.0 116 PM 4/18 Public ...Jefferson County... Bloomery 3 SSE 4.5 435 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Shepherdstown 2 N 1.5 245 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Millville 1 ESE 1.4 402 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Shepherdstown 1 NW 1.2 301 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Mineral County... New Creek 3 NW 3.6 300 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Burlington E 2.5 245 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Keyser 2.5 1230 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Keyser 2 SSW 2.0 1230 PM 4/18 Co-Op Observer ...Morgan County... Smith Crossroads 1 W 5.4 530 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Cherry Run 3.0 300 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter ...Pendleton County... Deer Run 2 WSW 3.0 551 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter Cherry Grove 6 WSW 2.0 1231 PM 4/18 Trained Spotter

Hmmm... which will it be? Afternoon AFD from LWX... I know which one @nj2va is rooting for Thereafter, longwave ridging is expected to build overhead for Friday into the weekend, as troughing becomes established over the Rockies, as well as over the North Atlantic. This will lead to a prolonged stretch of dry conditions. There is some uncertainty however with respect to temperatures. Some deterministic models and ensemble members try to move a backdoor cold front into the area by later Friday into Saturday. As a result, various ensemble members of the GEFS/EPS show highs on Saturday ranging anywhere from around 50 to near 90. There is still some spread in the temperature forecast for Sunday too, but ensemble members favor warmer solutions as the upper level ridge axis progresses overhead.

Report of 1.8 inches in Round Hill

Yay snow lol URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 932 AM EDT Sun Apr 17 2022 MDZ001-501-VAZ503-507-508-WVZ501-503-505-190000- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0025.220418T0900Z-220419T0000Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Western Highland- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Western Grant-Western Mineral-Western Pendleton- 932 AM EDT Sun Apr 17 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches. * WHERE...Garrett and extreme western Allegany counties in Maryland, western portions of Grant, Mineral and Pendleton counties in West Virginia, western Highland County and the northern and central Blue Ridge in Virginia. * WHEN...From 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning and evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most snow accumulation will be above 2000 feet and will be mostly confined to unpaved surfaces, though some slush on roads is likely.

The new MCD I think explains why -- at least down in MS and LA https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0482.html Mesoscale Discussion 0482 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 PM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022 Areas affected...portions of central/northern LA into southern/central MS Concerning...Tornado Watch 123... Valid 132036Z - 132200Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 123 continues. SUMMARY...Convection is slowly increasing in coverage and intensity. Should semi-discrete cells ahead of the cold front become better organized, the tornado threat will increase over the next 1-3 hours. DISCUSSION...Convection continues to increase across northern/central LA this afternoon. An additional band of convection is also noted along a weak low-level confluence band from near HEZ in MS to BTR in LA. Moderate instability resides across the region where upper 60s to low 70s surface dewpoints are in place. Convection has still been struggling to organized, despite effective shear magnitudes greater than 40 kt and sufficient large-scale ascent. Of note in visible satellite loops is that while storm motion is toward the northeast, the anvils attached to stronger storms have been spreading east or even southeast. This is consistent with forecast hodographs showing backed midlevel winds, and as a result, some cooling within (from anvil shadow), and precipitation into storm inflow, may be occurring, ultimately causing issues for storm organization. With time, RAP forecast hodographs across parts of northern LA into central MS improve and would allow convection to become better organized and updrafts to remain sustained over a longer time period within the favorable thermodynamic environment. If this occurs, any discrete convection would see an increase in tornado potential, with perhaps a strong tornado or two occurring over the next 1-3 hours. Otherwise, convection further west should consolidate near the cold front into early evening with an attendant risk for damaging gusts and QLCS tornadoes. ..Leitman.. 04/13/2022

@nj2va is the most pleased

Afternoon extended AFD from LWX is... lovely Conditions may potentially turn active again on Monday as a complex storm system approaches the area. A weak disturbance in the southern stream, may potentially phase with a much more potent trough approaching within northwesterly flow in the northern stream and form a coastal low. There`s a fair amount of spread with with respect to how this interaction will occur, and what our ultimate forecast will look like, but at this point it`s safe to say that there will be at least some chance for rain across the area late Sunday night through Monday. Precipitation may even linger into Tuesday, depending on how things unfold. Temperatures should run well below normal, and some snow may even be able to mix in with the rain in the mountains. We`ll continue to monitor the forecast for this system as we move closer in time.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 122 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 135 PM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Eastern Arkansas The Missouri Bootheel Northern Mississippi Western Tennessee * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 135 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A broken band of storms in Arkansas will continue to spread eastward toward northern Mississippi and western Tennessee through the afternoon/evening, with isolated supercell development possible ahead of the ongoing Arkansas storms. A mix of clusters/line segments and supercells support all severe hazards, including the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes, corridors of damaging winds to 75 mph, and isolated large hail. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Dyersburg TN to 50 miles southwest of Oxford MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

5 to 6 foot drifts as well

I have that bookmarked Doesn't LWX though only count the 5 min obs? Or something like that... at least I thought that's how it went

Developing storm out towards W MD near the Cumberland area