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yoda

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  1. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service New York NY 424 PM EDT Mon Jul 18 2022 The National Weather Service in Upton has extended the * Flash Flood Warning for... Bergen County in northeastern New Jersey... Northern Essex County in northeastern New Jersey... Hudson County in northeastern New Jersey... Eastern Passaic County in northeastern New Jersey... * Until 530 PM EDT. * At 424 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated between 1.5 and 3 inches of rain has fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing with multiple reports of road closures in the Hackensack, Paramus, and Lodi areas. There are also reports of basement flooding. HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain from earlier thunderstorms. SOURCE...Radar. IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor drainage and low-lying areas. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Paterson, Passaic, Wayne, Bloomfield, Hackensack, Bergenfield, Paramus, Ridgewood, Lyndhurst, Rutherford, Secaucus, Ramsey, Ridgefield, Caldwell, Kearny, Englewood, Hawthorne, Oradell, Norwood and Teterboro.
  2. Tor possible on the new STW headed toward @mappy
  3. SMW up for the Tidal Potomac for the gust front moving through producing winds over 40mph
  4. Radar would say it's pouring where you are
  5. Can definitely see the rotation at the higher tilts near Reisterstown... not down to tilt 1 though looks like
  6. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 412 PM EDT Mon Jul 18 2022 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Carroll County in north central Maryland... Northwestern Baltimore County in northern Maryland... * Until 445 PM EDT. * At 412 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Westminster, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Hampstead and Manchester around 425 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Lineboro, Millers and Greenmount. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
  7. Numerous reports of trees and wires down around and near FDK
  8. I'm surprised you beat @weatherwiz to it And pretty much the entire NE is outlooked by SPC for Day 4
  9. Seems like Monday and Thursday this week are our best severe thunderstorm chance days
  10. Alright who seized the radar? NOUS61 KLWX 151610 FTMLWX MESSAGE DATE: JUL 15 2022 16:10 KLWX IS DOWN HARD. AZIMUTH MOTOR IS SEIZED. ESTIMATED TIME OF RESTORATION AROUND 430 PM. KJP
  11. So Monday... .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Low-level moisture will increase further on Monday due to persistent srly flow with showers and thunderstorms likely ahead of a cold front. Monday could potentially be one of the most active days of next week in terms of severe weather potential due to a significant trough of low pressure moving through the region. Mid-level flow is pretty decent for mid-summer standards along with strong level forcing, and abundant low-level moisture suggest a substantial risk of severe weather. Flash flooding is also possible, but relatively strong mid-level flow should keep storms moving at a fast pace. Low-level troughiness and westerly flow Tue-Wed should push deep moisture south and east of the area with areal coverage of showers and thunderstorms greatly reduced. Another decent trough is fcst next Thu, this time with a greater flooding threat due to weaker winds aloft and mid-level flow more parallel to sfc front.
  12. If you want historical data on severe watches and SPC kind of stuff since around 2003, go here: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/archive/ https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/events/
  13. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=488&yr=2022 Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0488 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 642 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 Areas affected...Northern Virginia...Southern Central Maryland...District of Columbia... Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 122245Z - 130245Z SUMMARY...Very intense short-term rain rates aligning for favorable training/repeating resulting in possible localized flash flooding through late evening. DISCUSSION...Severe weather scenrio continues to unfold across the Mid-Atlantic with very strong thunderstorms and high wind gusts. This is also resulting in intense moisture convergence with these cells within a very moist and unstable environment. The mass loading into the cells have resulted in numerous reports of 1"/30 minutes with each individual cell. In the short-term, the overall speed has limited flooding concerns in all but the most prone areas, ie urban settings. However, larger scale synoptic setup has favored the cell moving across DC toward Annapolis MD in a very favorable placement to the right entrance region of the jet, but the speed max is exiting toward the northeast. Upstream across WV a secondary subtle speed max is starting to round the base of the upper trof. This has reduced the forward speed of the cold front crossing the central Applachians resulting in a weak kink or wave around W MD. As such, the outflow boundary from the initial storm as oriented favorably west to east for increased west-southwesterly flow ahead of the approaching speed max/synopic ascent. As a result oblique but sufficient isentropic ascent for additional similar but slightly less intense thunderstorms have formed generally parallel to the mean flow suggesting increased training potential across Northern VA into southern central MD. Given potential of backbuilding/training as supported by recent runs of the HRRR, an axis 2-4" totals are possible likely from Rockingham, VA toward Prince William and across into Charles county this evening. This crosses a few areas of lowered FFG due to recent heavy rainfall increasing the potential for flash flooding to occur. Gallina ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX... ATTN...RFC...MARFC...NWC...
  14. For those east of DC metro Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 633 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 MDC003-009-017-033-037-122300- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0260.000000T0000Z-220712T2300Z/ Anne Arundel MD-St. Marys MD-Calvert MD-Prince Georges MD-Charles MD- 633 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN ANNE ARUNDEL...NORTHERN ST. MARYS...NORTHWESTERN CALVERT...SOUTHEASTERN PRINCE GEORGES AND NORTHEASTERN CHARLES COUNTIES... At 632 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Londontowne to near Waldorf, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Waldorf, Bowie, Clinton, Mayo, Shady Side, Chesapeake Beach, Deale, Prince Frederick, Upper Marlboro, South River, Breezy Point, Rhode River, Parole, Kettering, Rosaryville, Marlton, Dunkirk, Saint Charles, Londontowne and Accokeek. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. These storms are producing widespread wind damage across Anne Arundel and Calvert counties in Maryland. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.
  15. Looks like it... though LWX is still issuing SVR for most portions
  16. Big CG strike right by my house... house just shook
  17. Looks like maybe some more storms over next couple hours looking west on radar
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