yoda

Numerous roads closed in the Thurmont to Emmitsburg area in MD due to dozens of trees down

71mph gust at Carroll County Regional Airport AWOS

Looks it threw out an OFB? Radarscope has it to the SW all the way back towards N VA

I'm guessing the Berryville WV spotter report is west of you?

Lots of damage reports coming out on Radarscope of numerous trees down and wind gusts of 60 to 80mph Trained spotter reports numerous trees downed in Hagerstown (at least a dozen)

Camp David AWOS 81 mph gust

Rear inflow jet ftw tonight

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1020 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025 MDC013-021-200230- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-250420T0230Z/ Carroll MD-Frederick MD- 1020 PM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN CARROLL AND NORTH CENTRAL FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND... At 1019 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Taneytown, or near Emmitsburg, moving east at 70 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR TANEYTOWN HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Observation at Camp David IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes. Locations impacted include... Harney, Taneytown, Keysville, Detour, Keymar, and Westminster. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3960 7696 3960 7729 3972 7730 3972 7693 TIME...MOT...LOC 0219Z 269DEG 62KT 3966 7722 THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH

Camp David just got rocked

Didn't know LWX had a CWOP aka Citizen Weather Observer Program

75 mph gust at HGR Also at mesonet - CWOP station CW1323 75mph gust

IMOGENE-ESSEX TORNADO Rating: EF-1 Max. Wind Speed: 110 mph Path Length: 19.72 miles Max. Tornado Width: 3130 yards Summary: The stronger of the two tornadoes began southwest of Imogene. The heaviest damage occurred south of town, where power poles were snapped, homes were damaged, and outbuildings were destroyed. The tornado narrowly missed Essex to the north, where more damage occurred to structures. The tornado turned northeast toward Nyman before lifting by the Montgomery County line. The tornado was quite wide, at roughly 1.75 miles at peak width, which is officially the widest tornado in Iowa's history. https://www.3newsnow.com/weather/weather-blog/thursdays-storms-saw-an-ef-3-in-the-omaha-area-and-iowas-widest-tornado-on-record

From this morning LWX AFD for Sunday into next week temperatures Thereafter, forecast uncertainty increases markedly, with both deterministic models and their respective ensembles showing considerable spread. This spread is illustrated well by comparing the GFS vs the Euro and Canadian. The GFS maintains one coherent trough, which progressively lifts northeastward over time, placing us on the warm side of the system on Sunday, with a strong cold frontal passage and much cooler air following for Monday. On the other hand, the Euro and Canadian break the initially positively tilted trough to our west into two pieces. The northern half of the trough rapidly progresses to our east on Sunday, causing high pressure to build to our north at the surface in its wake, and a back door cold frontal passage to occur, leading to much cooler temperatures on Sunday. The southern half of the trough is left behind as a cutoff upper low over the center of the country, which is subsequently picked up by a trailing trough. Southerly flow out ahead of that system would lead to a warming trend early next week, following cooler conditions on Sunday. To further illustrate the uncertainty, ensemble members from the GEFS, EPS, and GEPS show highs anywhere from the upper 40s to near 90 on Sunday, from around 50 to the lower 80s on Monday, and from the low 50s to mid 80s on Tuesday. Along with that, there`s also uncertainty with respect to precipitation. The current forecast calls for low-end chances for showers each day, which seems reasonable given the uncertainty.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 333 AM EDT Wed Apr 16 2025 VAZ025>027-029-161545- /O.CON.KLWX.FZ.W.0002.250417T0600Z-250417T1400Z/ Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Page- 333 AM EDT Wed Apr 16 2025 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 27 expected. * WHERE...Page, Shenandoah, Augusta, and Rockingham Counties. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 10 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

Boo more frost and freeze headlines for tonight URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 333 AM EDT Wed Apr 16 2025 MDZ003>006-503>507-VAZ028-030-031-036>040-050-051-053-055-056-501- 502-505-506-526-527-WVZ051>053-161545- /O.NEW.KLWX.FR.Y.0002.250417T0600Z-250417T1300Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Frederick VA- Warren-Clarke-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange- Culpeper-Fairfax-Stafford-Spotsylvania-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- 333 AM EDT Wed Apr 16 2025 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures between 33 to 36 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, and northern Maryland, central, northern, and northwest Virginia, and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday. * IMPACTS...Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered

Front Royal storm looks a little bit interesting...

Showers/storms starting to initiate in the i81 corridor

50/30 hail probs URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 139 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 650 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern and Central Virginia Eastern West Virginia * Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 650 PM until 100 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Supercells will continue to move eastward this evening while posing a threat for large to very large hail up to 1-2 inches in diameter. Scattered damaging winds with peak gusts of 60-70 mph will also be likely with any clusters that can form while also spreading quickly eastward. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of Staunton VA to 35 miles north of Richmond VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0450.html Mesoscale Discussion 0450 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Areas affected...Blue Ridge into central/northern Virginia...western/central Maryland...Washington DC Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 142148Z - 142345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A threat for damaging winds and large hail will persist into the Blue Ridge and eastward this evening. A watch is likely in the next hour. DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms, including a supercell with a history of large to very-large hail, continue to move quickly (45-50 kts) eastward late this afternoon. Dewpoints near and ahead of these storms are in the low 50s F. Models have continued to suggest some amount of upscale growth is expected with this activity. Even if this does not occur, these fast moving cells/linear segments will be capable of swaths of damaging winds and large hail. From the Blue Ridge eastward, dewpoints have slowly climbed into the low 50s F over the last couple of hours. Based off of current observations, dewpoints could increase another 1-2 F prior to storm arrival. There will be at least a narrow window where storms could remain surface based in the Blue Ridge vicinity. Farther east dewpoints and temperatures are lower. With some additional surface cooling expected, storms will have greater potential to be slightly elevated with eastward extent. However, forecast soundings show a dry sub-cloud layer that would support a continued risk of damaging downburst winds even with elevated storms. A watch will likely be needed in the next hour. ..Wendt/Gleason.. 04/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK... LAT...LON 39347923 39647877 39557757 39057689 38407673 37557679 37447706 37277796 37257910 37497942 39347923 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

Watch coming soon for most of LWX CWA @Kmlwx @Eskimo Joe @high risk @George BM

Mesoscale Discussion 0449 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0430 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Areas affected...central and eastern Kentucky...far southern Ohio...and West Virginia Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 138... Valid 142130Z - 142300Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 138 continues. SUMMARY...Multiple supercells capable of large hail and damaging wind gusts will persist this evening. DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells has developed across southern Ohio with multiple large hail reports received thus far. The strongest of these cells is a lead supercell approaching Charleston, WV as of 2130 UTC. This supercell has a history of 2 inch hail and latest MRMS data suggests 2+ inch hail (perhaps the size of baseballs) remains possible. The environment downstream of this supercell remains favorable with 750-1000 J/kg MLCAPE and 45 to 50 knots of shear and visible satellite showing an expansive agitated cumulus field. Therefore, expect this 2+ inch hail threat to persist for at least a few more hours across West Virginia. Thunderstorm activity has been limited south of the Ohio River thus far, and visible satellite imagery does not appear to indicate additional thunderstorms are imminent. However, the environment remains uncapped and as mid-level temperatures continue to cool, some thunderstorms will be possible along the front this evening. ..Bentley/Gleason.. 04/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK... LAT...LON 38908503 39378376 39618195 39728086 39457988 38847949 37627973 37048123 36998290 36878407 37048569 37998560 38908503 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Charleston WV 528 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025 WVC011-015-035-039-053-079-087-142215- /O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0096.000000T0000Z-250414T2215Z/ Mason WV-Cabell WV-Putnam WV-Kanawha WV-Roane WV-Clay WV-Jackson WV- 528 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MASON...EASTERN CABELL...PUTNAM...KANAWHA... SOUTHWESTERN ROANE...WEST CENTRAL CLAY AND SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTIES... At 527 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Winfield, moving east at 50 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR CROSS LANES AND SAINT ALBANS. HAZARD...Baseball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be severely injured. Expect shattered windows, extensive damage to roofs, siding, and vehicles. Locations impacted include... Charleston, Pinch, Winfield, Cedar Grove, Glasgow, Nitro, Liberty, Institute, St. Albans, South Charleston, Eleanor, Poca, Fraziers Bottom, Coal Fork, Hurricane, Elkview, Sissonville, Buffalo, Cross Lanes, and Clendenin. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3860 8128 3835 8123 3819 8140 3843 8210 3866 8203 TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 277DEG 45KT 3850 8186 TORNADO...POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.75 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

Charleston WV WFO in for a rude time shortly