Chrisrotary12

16 minutes ago, DomNH said:

Actually coming down pretty decently here. 

Snowing better now than most of last Thursday.

Joe B thinks snowmaggedon is coming. Well might as well start dusting off the golf clubs. Fairways will be green by MLK day.

32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Well if the GFS is right, we are opening gifts in the dark.

Saved by the tiniest of inversions?

51 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z euro looks like it would produce

Positioning of these two vort maxes is way different than 18z GFS.

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

From a local standpoint, this event was entirely forgettable for me, from an aggregate meteorological perspective....ie underwhelming total snowfall, as expect. But the reason that I will remember it are threefold:

1) My daughter's first experience in the snow, and she is hooked....too her sledding down the driveway and side road. No mesoscale met screwing can rob me of that.

2) Others have mentioned, but that was the most hostile WCB in terms of sensible weather than I can ever remember....cold, wind, intensity of snowfall....reminded me of Jan 2005 and Feb 2013 from about 1-4am.

3) Obviously the insanity of the snowfall in that band to the n and w that I just missed....44" totals are memorable, even for the most IMBY guy alive.

I will not remember this storm after in a week.

Used a yardstick so I could feel part of the group.

Just now, Great Snow 1717 said:

What is the total for your area?

I eye-balled like 5-6" when I cleared the driveway earlier. Nary a flake falling from the sky. Snow globe snow now.

The 24-26th timeframe does look interesting.

Ok. I'm over this bitch-ass storm. What's next? Christmas Eve?

1 hour ago, DomNH said:

9” of absolute powder and now subsidence city. Meh. 

Just finished snowblowing. I would have guess 5-6". TIme to log off the forum for the day while everyone else cleans up. 

I will be telling my grandchildren about this subsidence zone.

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Some models had that, but filled it on later on.

I was nose to the grindstone from 8 to 4 pm today and barely followed along. Just see a giant hole in PA where there supposed to be another 0.75” of precip.

Ummmm....should we be concerned about this?

Scooter’s convection going up off Virginia coast.

22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Are you thinking 36-42 hours snows?

At least 48 hrs

Staring at the radar crossing fingers that those returns keep streaming north praying that the dry air doesn't win for too long.

Final Call

2 hours ago, JC-CT said:

BOX spelled "Fr" wrong, how embarrassing.

Brav-F'NG-O

Nowcast: the Merrimack Valley porkage is going to be awesome to behold. Melts all up and down 495.

3 hours ago, DomNH said:

I hope we ticky tick south to get into the better H7 fronto banding. We're not getting into the WCB. As things stand I'm going 4-8'' here. Hope to squeak out a warning event but I can see a scenario where we just subsidence struggle our way to 4-5'' of dense sand.

Let's just start at 2-4" and be excited with 6"?

15 minutes ago, DFRI said:

Some are predicting less.

 

Pete B says screw Ray's subsidence zone!

First call for my blog this morning. 

I think one thing we can all be confident in is that this storm provides the first true melt of the season. 

4 minutes ago, raindancewx said:

Actually think Uncle Sam has the right idea here in most spots. I'd go a bit lower for NYC/NJ/Philly/Western CT. The short range models are good at detecting sleet and small warm profiles above the ground from what I can remember in college when we evaluated model performance in Nor'easters.

Was just about to post that I was setting the over/under for my backyard at 3".

Not really feeling this one. Afraid a lot of weenies expecting 12-18"+ are going to be disappointed when they have to settle for 8".  A region wide 6-12" south of the pike with 4-8" from pike northward is kind of what I'm expecting.  Haven't dug in deep enough to figure out what "northward" means.

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I've gone a year without a warning...I could go another 10, and amounts of 10" would still seem moderate to me. Doesn't mean it isn't enjoyable....just not that anomalous.

I think it also has to do with the societal impact of a 12" snowstorm these days. 12" of snow is meh when it comes to disrupting travel and life really beyond the timeframe of when it is actually snowing.

The EPS goal posts have narrowed to where us southern New Hampshire posters are out of a shading for >12". To that I say: GO NAM/UKIE GO