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Dunkman

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Everything posted by Dunkman

  1. Dunkman
    Still mostly just rain here. Wasting some of our very limited precipitation.
  2. Dunkman
    It would make a lot more of a difference for them than us I think.
  3. Dunkman
    The play by play on that NAM was really something.
  4. Dunkman
    I really hate this hobby sometimes
  5. Dunkman
    I’m gonna feel some kind of a way if we go through this pattern without getting more than 2” of snow here for the first time since 2018 (that brick of sleet on my porch doesn’t count).
  6. Dunkman
    Well the first thump was better on the NAM but the 2nd one looks squished. Thus the mixed messages. It’s hard to put much stock into the NAM until it shows some consistency.
  7. Dunkman
    Umm the roads here have a 4-5” thick sheet of ice on them. 906 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Accumulating snow and freezing rain has ended. Areas of black ice possible through early Monday morning. * WHERE...Portions of central North Carolina. * WHEN...Until 9 AM EST Monday.
  8. Dunkman
    I can’t believe how much sleet we have. It’s been pouring sleet for hours and hours. Hopefully we miss out on most of the ZR?
  9. Dunkman
    Some weird reports but I see no evidence of anything but sleet here in High Point right now.
  10. Dunkman
    mPING is a mess in central NC. I don’t know what people are doing but I’ve seen plain rain reported where it’s 22 degrees and snow in places where it hasn’t snowed in 4 hours.
  11. Dunkman
    Yeah people seem to remember the NAM wins and forget the miserable showings in between. HRRR seems promising for limiting ZR accumulation in NC. Hopefully it’s not too bad.
  12. Dunkman
    Changing over here right now in north High Point. 1.5” of snow, maybe 2 if I’m being generous.
  13. Dunkman
    Really rooting for the upstate people. Someone needs to get a good event out of this outside of the mountains!
  14. Dunkman
    They’re usually very conservative I’m happy to see those snow numbers so high after today’s runs.
  15. Dunkman
    Yeah I don’t think that’s the reason it’s so quiet. Every suite of models has been worse than the one before it for like 4 days. Eventually it just gets depressing.
  16. Dunkman
    I always thought the weather flow tempest looked really neat but I don’t have one.
  17. Dunkman
    It’s kind of amazing that we’re gonna miss again. It’s been since 2018. This is how long we went between good snows when I grew up in Beaufort.
  18. Dunkman
    Just as long as it’s not ZR here I won’t complain. Most of my house has Covid right now and the prospect of dealing with no power and falling trees is a little overwhelming (we’re all vaccinated and fine but still).
  19. Dunkman
    My experience has been the RGEM seems to do well farther north but has a pretty lousy track record figuring out p-type for winter storms in our region. That said I doubt we’ve had a winter storm to track here since it upgraded so who knows.
  20. Dunkman
    37 months since we’ve cracked 2”. I really thought this was gonna be it!
  21. Dunkman
    We don’t need a lot of ZR here, at least in the Triad, after the tropical storm conditions with the last storm. I’d imagine a lot of trees are barely upright.
  22. Dunkman
    I mean I’ve seen snow stick well when it was 70 the day before but I don’t know about when it was 70 the entire month before. Excited to have something to track though!
  23. Dunkman
    I feel like things went reasonably well in Louisiana all things considered? I mean we had a legitimate verified on the ground high end category 4 storm make landfall then sit on a swamp for many hours and refuse to weaken. That’s always going to be very, very bad. The transmission tower going down seems like something that shouldn’t happen but who knows. Could have been faulty construction and could have also been the mesovortices that persisted well inland in the eyewall.
  24. Dunkman
    I have a crazy amount of respect for what LEK says. He’s been right on it A LOT over the years.
  25. Dunkman
    This is not a good take. I grew up on the coast and we dealt with many hurricanes. Whether or not to evacuate is a difficult, complicated decision in many cases.
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