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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. We've had just a few light sleet showers so far
  2. Its still above freezing up here in McDowell County. Weird wedge. Went more south east than nestle up against the escarpment so far.
  3. Still not seeing a lot of development to our SW in Alabama/GA.
  4. It has it breaking down quicker tomorrow. Asheville switches over earlier to rain
  5. Every winter storm the past 3 or 4 years has busted on tne dry side.
  6. True but these DPs are super low. It will take time to saturate the atmosphere to the point drizzle can fall
  7. New GFS has this by tomorrow morning. Very light
  8. Must be a warm bubble directly on the leeside
  9. Its still 37 here. What is your temp?
  10. The sun is still poking through the clouds here
  11. Also the west to east movement of precipitation won't cut it here east of the Apps today. Downsloping and dry air will= virga until the flow changes more SWly tonight. I think we dont get much precip reaching the ground until closer to 8 pm.
  12. I disagree, I think we underperform with precip. Upstream has mostly underperformed. Lower snow totals in Oklahoma. Lighter amounts. Dry air is very deep with this arctic high. I think its an impactful system especially for the foothills, but I dont see the 1.0-1.5 QPF verifying.
  13. Not sure we get an inch of moisture maybe even .75. Lot of folks upstream have under performed. Oklahoma hasnt got half the snow predicted.
  14. A lot of the models have backed off extreme totals of ZR. NWS blend is about .35
  15. Short range all trending south with initial precip. Super close for north of 40 for snow for a few hours now
  16. Models are shifting south, especially the short range high res. Let's see what the Euro says. Every little shift could mean the difference between 2 or 3 inches of sleet or .75 ZR
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