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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. Its almost like the Baja low is a big old glass of sweet tea stuck to grandma's dining room table and the confluence is sucking out the sweet goodness and pulling it across the SE instead of grabbing it
  2. Great run for those who want snow instead of ice
  3. GFS keeps the Baja low back more. Will be further south but maybe less precipitation.
  4. It could be the start of the north trend. We'll see shortly.
  5. ICON is North. Lots of freezing rain even in the foothills...
  6. Yea definitely less than 4 days til go time now. Praying for no major jumps north..
  7. I will add to pay attention to the NAM within 48 hours of the storm. It does amazingly well in CAD setups with warm noses. Its burned many of us before
  8. Euro AI THROWS a curveball with a flatter look.
  9. A lot of that is sleet and ZR south of 40
  10. I would rather it stay a bit south and not get the Baja low as involved. The SE Ridge can be a real beyatch... I still think most of NC mixes at some point, even N of 85. Va mostly snow.
  11. I don't like the trends with capturing the Baja low. It could amp too far west and even north of I 85 suffer from ice.
  12. It's more in line with other guidance now. Let's hope they don't shift North too. Gotta keep that high strong
  13. It pulled the Baja low so it went north and now looks more like the Euro and AI models
  14. It wasn't that bad of a run honestly. Well within the possible range of outcomes.
  15. ICON might be bringing wave 2 right behind
  16. ICON is more amped for sure. More like Euro AI. Miller A/B hybrid
  17. Long range has other threats too. Hard to think about with this one 4-5 days out but the next month looks fascinating
  18. I would say so. Probably somewhat dependent on how far up the coast it goes.
  19. We just need consistency without major changes and we are in a really good spot. Arguably the best spot right now. We are far northeast enough to take full advantage of CAD and can do well in miller A/B hybrid, and far south enough to avoid missing out completely on some slightly suppressed looks
  20. 18Z euro only goes to 144. There was more coming.
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