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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. The GFS barely has a southern stream low. Most of the moisture in western sections is from WAA.
  2. GFS removed another .1 to .2 of moisture
  3. Models still trending east. ICON was similar and RGEM was bone dry
  4. I miss the days where mountain and foothills folks could both celebrate getting smoked from Miller As-.
  5. But don't you know? Every storm trends NW!
  6. Charlotte with more snow than Asheville.
  7. 2 or 3 inches is a win at this point
  8. I think our chance is for the WAA transport to be oriented right at us to get a front end thump. GFS kind of shows this.
  9. When the snow area shifts to the tidewater I'll be laughing
  10. It had less precipitation for most eastern areas too if you look at 06Z it's just more snow this time.
  11. I'm just going to post in here but the writing is on the wall
  12. It's less precipitation overall, especially western areas.
  13. Right. The ICON and RGEM continue the trend of weaker and faster.
  14. I warned about the strung out system nobody listened. I'm warning about less confluence. Nobody listening. You'll see.
  15. Major issues showing up- 1. Progressive quick moving system being ushered out by the TPV/northern stream. 2. Weaker confluence to the NE leading to warmer temps ahead of the system. 3. Weaker southern stream wave
  16. Models are also starting to weaken the confluence in the NE along with having a weaker system. There is less cold out ahead of the storm.
  17. Really think the northern stream is our main culprit. The TPV is too close and pressing down on our poor weak southern stream.
  18. We need a complete atmospheric reset somehow. A big volcanic eruption or a small meteor maybe?
  19. If the trend continues, the piedmont will only see light amounts from your ideal solution. Weaker also runs the risk of cold transport not being as good and lighter precip could mean more mix. A stronger system has more boom or bust potential sure but if all you want is an inch or 2 that falls in 4 to 6 hours then root for this solution.
  20. Here we go with the weaker, strung out system like I warned yesterday. Atmospheric memory is hard to beat
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