At H5 the trends are for a weaker shortwave and less interaction with the northern stream. If it weakens too much it will be light snow at best except for maybe NE NC and SE VA with the weak coastal.
That's been the trend this winter. Systems have trouble staying consolidated once they go past the Mississippi. Euro at 18Z was weaker than 12Z. If 00Z is weaker still it may not be a big system after all
All I know is there's very few storms where we get more snow then SW NC. Usually only if it's strong CAD but this is not really that. I have seen Jan 2016 as an analog that would make a lot of people happy in the mountains.