wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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And they shouldn't be taken too seriously unless they show something consistent multiple runs. Remember a few winters ago when they showed a colder pattern always a few weeks away that never really happened? Just another tool you can use to get a big picture.
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@Met1985
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There's Jan 2022 showing up again
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I remember a time when the skies needed to heal before it could snow
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The Weeklies literally just had a run of above average for the month of January a few days ago
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Not on the Weeklies. Its been above average to below average to above average to average
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But what will they say next run? The variability is crazy this year.
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The op runs and ensembles from the Euro and GFS werent cold past day 7/8 today. It will probably show something different tonight.
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Today's GFS run is quite mild long range FWIW
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Its one crazy backdoor front. 70s to 40s back to 70s in 72 hours.
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That's wild, hopefully it makes up for lost time soon.
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CAD is hard to predict
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I hope the entire forum gets snow
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That would turn me as optimistic as you for at least 3 winters
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Just a warning criteria snow (4"+) thats not much really.
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Thanks. There's opportunity with Canada remaining cold.
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It reminds me a little of January 2022
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We have gotten decent snows with a -PNA. I will see what research I can find
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And it's ok to disagree
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I think they have been about like they always have. Never perfect but a decent guide to use if you take a blended approach. The late December cold snap has been showing up for a few days now in varying degrees. Look at this run from Thursday night.
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They haven't been that bad though. They called this warm spell way back in early December.
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So disregard models and ensembles unless it's a few days out?
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I think the next really interesting time period is from Jan 7-12. If we can keep that -NAO we might have a real shot then.
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Not for this week
