I think we are good as long as the ULL tracks where its progged to and the meso low delivers. Father NE towards the Triad has the best shot of dry air IMO.
GSP lowered totals a bit, I do think they are playing catch up a little with the lower overnight trends vs the higher trends today. I expect them to bump it back up later.
I think the short range is encouraging for us leeside/downsloping folks. The moisture trajectory is looking a little more SE/Easterly. We have to avoid the north or NW wind.
Going with 2-3 inches here. Too much dry air showing up on the Hi Res models. Could even be a March 2009 bust with less than an inch directly in the Lee. Nam and HRRR keep getting worse not better.