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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    I'm setting my baseline expectations at 4 inches. That would be the most since 2022 and the 2nd most since 2018.
  2. wncsnow
    Just monitoring trends. HRRR doesn't start accumulating the snow here until 6 am.
  3. wncsnow
    HRRR keeps delaying the onset here..
  4. wncsnow
    Must be worried about dry air
  5. wncsnow
    NWS lowered again for most of us
  6. wncsnow
    I don't see it. After we have gotten a good thump maybe. We have east winds right now=good.
  7. wncsnow
    Heavy overcast here ceiling looks like its lowering.
  8. wncsnow
    Foothills weather folks still think the leeside could get 3 inches they are seeing more dry air and dont trust the models. Not sure what they are "seeing" dont think they do balloon launches.
  9. wncsnow
  10. wncsnow
    Euro looks great still. Solid 6-9 for everyone even leeside. Its been steady for a couple days. Hard to bet against it.
  11. wncsnow
    New RAP
  12. wncsnow
    GFS still looking good
  13. wncsnow
    Its possible we have a little less but I honestly think its overdone with the flow being from the SE then turning E and NE. I think 4-6 is a safe bet.
  14. wncsnow
  15. wncsnow
    Still has me under 6 inches with that annoying leeside area but I think its overstating it.
  16. wncsnow
    Honestly they both suck outside 24 hours. I would say inside 24 hours the HRRR is much better
  17. wncsnow
    Its quite interesting noticing the same precip maximums as the meso low snow that forms in 2003. Obviously that was more of a strong clipper but this could have the same footprint but with more widespread totals. I could see someone getting 12-15" out of this in a small area.
  18. wncsnow
    Milky sun in Asheville
  19. wncsnow
  20. wncsnow
    You're right its bigger
  21. wncsnow
    HRRR precip showing a huge dry slot
  22. wncsnow
    Best HRRR run so far
  23. wncsnow
    Slower and west is the theme still good for western carolinas
  24. wncsnow
    I think we are good as long as the ULL tracks where its progged to and the meso low delivers. Father NE towards the Triad has the best shot of dry air IMO.
  25. wncsnow
    It's a bit concerning they give the NAM that much weight
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