I think the short range is encouraging for us leeside/downsloping folks. The moisture trajectory is looking a little more SE/Easterly. We have to avoid the north or NW wind.
Going with 2-3 inches here. Too much dry air showing up on the Hi Res models. Could even be a March 2009 bust with less than an inch directly in the Lee. Nam and HRRR keep getting worse not better.
It's weird because it looks like decent echoes on simulated radar for hours yet totals are meager. 2-4 generally for us despite decent returns. Dry air.