wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Anyone got the 18Z euro? -
These things are normally true- 1. The initial front end thump of snow is stronger than modeled and puts down at least an inch or 2 more than forecasted. 2. The warm nose sets up somewhere within 30 miles of I 85. 3. Heavier precip could mean sleet and snow while lighter returns yield freezing rain. 4. The snow starts a few hours before and ends a couple hours before models show it.
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Gotta hope the NAM is way wrong
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Boyer upped totals
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NWS leans heavily on the NAM. If the 00Z NAM trends less amped, I bet they adjust again.
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Looks solid gents
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The SREF increased totals from the previous run. I expect the next NAM to be snowier.
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increase in the snow mean too!
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I'll take it
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NWS loves the NAM.
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Haven't updated since issuing the WSW
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It's still on an island but it moved towards the other solutions
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Hi Res NAM less amped too
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NAM shows more snow for WNC so it is improved a little
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NAM is still amped up but maybe slightly less this run.
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It's surface depiction is already off at initialization
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Gonna be some half foot plus totals in WNC
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HRRR is pretty steady from last run so far. Main difference is its about 3 or 4 hours slower bringing in the precipitation
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2-8 inches is a big range for the warning.
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Winter Storm Warning issued for the entire area!
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I feel confident the streak of futility will be broken. 2-3 inches seems the best bet with some sleet on top.
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GSP waiting till 330
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NAM is definitely on its own
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Euro getting juicier!
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