wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Snow totals were less here for 12Z.
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Yeah GEFS was slightly north. More mixing for us
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I was skeptical at first but you might be onto something
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Its almost like the Baja low is a big old glass of sweet tea stuck to grandma's dining room table and the confluence is sucking out the sweet goodness and pulling it across the SE instead of grabbing it
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GFS AI is also colder and south
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Great run for those who want snow instead of ice
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GFS keeps the Baja low back more. Will be further south but maybe less precipitation.
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GFS looks promising so far
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It could be the start of the north trend. We'll see shortly.
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ICON is North. Lots of freezing rain even in the foothills...
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Yea definitely less than 4 days til go time now. Praying for no major jumps north..
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I will add to pay attention to the NAM within 48 hours of the storm. It does amazingly well in CAD setups with warm noses. Its burned many of us before
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Yes it's bedtime or am I dreaming?
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Euro AI THROWS a curveball with a flatter look.
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A lot of that is sleet and ZR south of 40
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Its trending north though
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I would rather it stay a bit south and not get the Baja low as involved. The SE Ridge can be a real beyatch... I still think most of NC mixes at some point, even N of 85. Va mostly snow.
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I don't like the trends with capturing the Baja low. It could amp too far west and even north of I 85 suffer from ice.
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It's more in line with other guidance now. Let's hope they don't shift North too. Gotta keep that high strong
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It pulled the Baja low so it went north and now looks more like the Euro and AI models
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It wasn't that bad of a run honestly. Well within the possible range of outcomes.
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ICON might be bringing wave 2 right behind
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ICON is more amped for sure. More like Euro AI. Miller A/B hybrid
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Long range has other threats too. Hard to think about with this one 4-5 days out but the next month looks fascinating
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I would say so. Probably somewhat dependent on how far up the coast it goes.
