wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Even at Danville the mean is only a little over 4.. not good signs for the upcoming NAM..
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Bang (not to take away from Burger)
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A lot of people will like this GFS run. Especially I40 North crowd. But it is much better than 12Z and is more closely aligned to other models
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GFS is looking juicer to me this run compared to 12Z. Snow breaking out mountains and foothills at midnight Saturday
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Blacksburgs version
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The NAM is a raging sleetstorm for many with the big warm nose. Thats why the kuchera maps look so much different than the one brick posted..
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That map is highly inaccurate with all of the sleet and ZR included
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Snow
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NAM is a nasty ice storm for many
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Still early in the game its still possible. But I do HIGHLY doubt Charlotte will get 6 inches more than AVL
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Anyone looked at the Euro for later next week, heavy rain, possible t storms with a strong upper low and then wraparound snow for mtns.. could be flooding issues in areas especially in locations with over 6 inches of snow
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The simulated radar progressions and locations of the snow/mix/rain on the 12Z euro really matches well with climo
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But when I said last night there were trends for less QPF in western sections everyone jumped on me
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Noticed that no one posted the UKMET.. anyone have some snow maps?
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Starting to look like your typical winter storm for WNC/Foothills and triad. 4-6 inches of snow then sleet and ice on top... Nothing too special about it
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Snow maps starting to look more realistic
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Freezing rain showing up much further north now into the triad on the GFS
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Doubt it. Had already started to switch to sleet in our area at 84. Look at the sounding.
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Yes it isn't finished but.. the front end thump being advertised isn't looking as impressive on the NAM.
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Total QPF for NAM... very dry for triangle and no way it gets to 1 inch qpf there as modeled
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The nam is definitely on the drier side for the whole area, which seems odd considering it used to be the most amped up/heavy qpf.... It shows the front end thump being not much more than a nuisance
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You can see the effects o the strong confluence on the simulated radar
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12Z Nam is already looking more suppressed out to 42..
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We need a more expansive precip shield on the north side of the storm. Out totals are dropped from 18 to 12 to under 8 now on the Euro..
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Ouch. Getting close to being a whiff here. We still get .75 to 1 inch qpf but its trending south. Nothing as close Lynchburg
