I sure hope the pattern does change do a cold and drier one because it is setting up for serious flooding. I'm closing in on 3 inches quickly and the line isn't here yet.
I hope we can all cash in soon but i'm still having my doubts about the pattern change. The pacific is still messed up and we are hoping the -EPO can save us. I also see signs of the SE ridge having trouble breaking down even on the EPS.
No but it's another piece of the puzzle. I think the GFS is bringing the colder pattern in too early by 3 or 4 days at least. It won't be until Around MLK day or later when we could see a decent winter pattern.
Yea I'm not buying it yet either. All the indices are still in the wrong places and the operational Euro is still infatuated with keeping our friend, the SE ridge and delaying any cold air arrival.
If this pattern continues, it's only a matter of time before major flooding issues in western NC and SC. Already had some mud/rock slides with the last system and it will just get worse.
Won't be long until the "maybe a bowling ball ULL in Late Feb or March will save us" or the 1960 redux! And definitely the "well it was a very mild winter before the blizzard of 1993 too".
More than 2 years here. It's been generally wetter than normal here since 2013. I saw mosquitoes the other evening. It has only been below 20 degrees once and that was in November.