wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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You know... For this to be such a "arctic blast" it is really not that cold at all. 40 here and pretty nice out really even here in Virginia. SE Ridge FTW!
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I'm afraid it won't be sunny, 3 to 4 inches of rain next 2 weeks likely for you
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Ouch. And thats AFTER the first week of warm February weather. Could be a +3 or +4 month for sure.
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Start of the big warmup. Gonna get rainy too
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This thread is about to be full in a week
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The Euro not only shows little to no snow with the front but it doesn't even get that cold behind it until a reinforcing push Wednesday night
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Big time warm up coming starting early next week according to Euro and GFS. Could get in the 50s then 60s for most!
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Pattern looks to get warm again in 10 days or so. Maybe it will reload into something different because this pattern is not gonna get it done.
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The split flow is missing now when we need it.. But its gonna dry out some so I am happy about that!
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This thread is going to get busier and busier, and only compounded by the over the top winter forecasts and epic pattern calls
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Good news!-It looks to dry out some after this weeks deluge! Bad news- Snow threat looks minimal through the end of the month.
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As I have said before, it does not look promising at all for a SE winter storm with the upcoming pattern. It will either be clipper city or a conus wide trough and cutters. Historic winter!
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Even Robert was close to punting earlier this month. He is starting to come around now but hasnt been as excited as I would expect in "a blockbuster pattern"
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Never said that. The pattern could reload but there will be plenty of relaxes IMO. You should know SE winters better. We have heard for months how amazing this winter will be. If not for a freak early December storm it would be an F.
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Notice how quiet it is in here? Yea there is still nothing that interesting on the horizon the next 10 days. Also after that there are signs of the cold relaxing and the trough being centered too far to the NE.
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Yea escarpment areas had over 100 inches of rain last year and are off to a quick start already for 2019...With the southerly flow out ahead of the fronts I think they will get hit hard with the upcoming pattern
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Like i have said before, flooding is the immediate concern..
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We just had the wettest year on record for many locations on the east coast including millions of dollars in damage to my city and workplace so no I am not excited about widespread 2 to 4 inch rain amounts the next 7 to 8 days.
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All guidance shows heavy rain this weekend and middle of next week. No sustained cold. Give me all the indices you want, the proof is in the pudding.
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We need packbacker
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This is the sanitarium so it makes me feel better to complain. I'm usually pretty positive but I am just super sick of all the rain. I could use some cold and dry. My area has been devastated from flooding this year.
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The pattern change looks like crap right now. Next 10 days have no real threat and after that we will basically be in February. This blockbuster winter is quickly going down the drain...
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The biggest threat in the next 10 days is flooding. GFS and Euro show over 4 inches for escarpment areas. Lots of SE flow ahead of the low pressures pumping in the moisture to an already saturated area.
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The operational models look meh at best in the long range. It sets the trough up too far west giving us mostly SE flow and rain while storms cut through the Ohio valley then somewhat colder behind them but nothing remarkable.. Some pattern change if it comes to fruition.
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The long range GFS and Euro for that matter seem to hint at a SE ridge popping up.. At least enough of one to keep the storm track into the Ohio valley.
