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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. Yea the OP runs looks like crap on the GFS and Euro
  2. I hope we can all cash in soon but i'm still having my doubts about the pattern change. The pacific is still messed up and we are hoping the -EPO can save us. I also see signs of the SE ridge having trouble breaking down even on the EPS.
  3. I thought the EPS looked warmer overall but could be wrong
  4. The OP Euro is still not bringing down the cold like the OP GFS, hug the EPS for now
  5. Can't wait to see all the people in here after the cold keeps getting delayed a few days on the models
  6. No but it's another piece of the puzzle. I think the GFS is bringing the colder pattern in too early by 3 or 4 days at least. It won't be until Around MLK day or later when we could see a decent winter pattern.
  7. Yea I'm not buying it yet either. All the indices are still in the wrong places and the operational Euro is still infatuated with keeping our friend, the SE ridge and delaying any cold air arrival.
  8. The bad news is the Euro really never gets us cold in the next 10 days in last nights run..
  9. Well at least the Euro did cool us off this run at day 10 after a deluge of rain.
  10. Euro still shows big time rain totals for the escarpment areas... Flooding seems likely
  11. This weather is so odd. Looked like a squall line coming into Asheville with dark clouds and wind gusting to 35 at least.
  12. If this pattern continues, it's only a matter of time before major flooding issues in western NC and SC. Already had some mud/rock slides with the last system and it will just get worse.
  13. Euro sounding the alarm for flooding across Western NC, SC and the Tennessee valley.
  14. The Euro is warmer and further north of course but still gives the northern mountains some love
  15. Yea Tuesday morning is looking more interesting even for northern foothill areas possibly getting some wet snow for a few hours if the NAM is correct.
  16. Some flurries here in Pleasant Gardens but it's still almost 40.
  17. Euro has 4 inches of rain along the escarpment next 10 days.. Luckily the next 5 days are fairly dry before the deluge sets in..
  18. Won't be long until the "maybe a bowling ball ULL in Late Feb or March will save us" or the 1960 redux! And definitely the "well it was a very mild winter before the blizzard of 1993 too".
  19. More than 2 years here. It's been generally wetter than normal here since 2013. I saw mosquitoes the other evening. It has only been below 20 degrees once and that was in November.
  20. We have only had 2 or 3 months of really dry in the past 4 or 5 years here. It's ridiculous.
  21. Not that impressive this weekend maybe an inch or 2 in favored areas on the border. Next week could be a bit better for upslope areas but doesn't look that great right now. If it doesn't turn around in late Jan or Feb this winter may turn out to be one of the all time least snowy. Even places like Beech and Mt Mitchell have barely seen half a foot all season.
  22. The past few weeks have been more like Seattle than Western NC.. We are over 5 inches here in the past month and it looks to be very soggy in the next 2 weeks..
  23. GFS and Euro look way different even later this week. Euro has 2 to 4 inches of rain and GFS much less. Then the GFS tries to develop a southern wave on the next front giving a decent snow chance next week. Euro has a low cutting up the Ohio Valley with showers/storms and turning a bit colder behind it.
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