wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Hi Res NAM sucks unless you have elevation or in VA
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I'm a little confused at this run too. I have .7 qpf and only 2.5 snow and 850s and 925s are good here too.
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Whole lot of meh
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Warm nose shaping up at 30
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850s are colder but there's less precip for areas that are cold enough so far
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Less heavy precip in WNC at 27
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NAM is running a bit warmer than 18Z already
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It wasn't terrible but totals were generally overdone
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Expect the NAM to be super amped. SREFs are bad even for mountains
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New HRRR isn't bad really
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Ouch. Figure it will come in even more amped
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Given their track record the last couple systems gotta lean false.
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The HRRR is trending north though. Let's see what the 00z run says
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Scrolling back in time there have been many threads started with the word threat or threats in them so I'm not the lone ranger, just saying!
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Hey now lets wait and see what happens first. I thought changing my profile pic may change mojo but alas..
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I will take the blame lol
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GFS trending NW
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Looks like the Euro, lighter precip, more in the TN valley yet again
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If it was just that low pressure we would be in good shape. Its the low in the TN valley screwing us.
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Yep, that is screwing up everything and the hi res models are trending stronger and stronger with it
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Another thing with the latest NAM was it was super slow with the precip. 3-6 hours or so slower than the last run
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The mid atlantic is going to get pounded
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Yep, we went to 6 inches or more tomorrow night to less than an inch here and to cold rain all next weekend. Absolutely depressing day of model runs
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The new upper air data sure told the story on this one. I doubt we get an inch at this point
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The Hi Res NAM is dreadful lol
