wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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It is warmer, but mostly a product of less moisture so the dew point is lower
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So far it's less aggressive with the overrunning finger of precip
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Let's see if the NAM is as cold as 18Z, trends colder, or warmer
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HRRR is quite the sleetfest for Northern foothills
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HRRR is 2-3 degrees warmer so far.. shocker.
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It will be interesting to see how it's delineated. I figure McDowell mountains will be warning and eastern McDowell will be advisory.
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I'm honestly surprised the NWS went with WSW
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I do think places from Marion to Taylorsville up to Mt Airy see a lot of sleet, probably an inch or 2.
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I have seen many storms similar to this where Marion had 3 to 4 inches of snow and by the time you got down to Bostic there was little to nothing. Sometimes even by the time you get to the Rutherford/McDowell border
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I would take the NWS forecast and run with it although I'm afraid we get more ice and less snow
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Only one that came in warmer was the RDPS
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No time better than the present.. for an old fashioned sleet storm!
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Thanks Ward, I sure hope so. Short range models seem to be generally trending a bit colder so it will be interesting. I definitely hope we don't get power issues with lots of ice.
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What you thinking for places like Marion, seems like we could be in a decent spot
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New NAMs are bad news for ice issues in Northern foothills and mountains. Even 85 corridor gets some
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The key here is if we can get enough heavy precip in with the WAA before it switches over to ZR or rain.
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Euro still looks the same
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It does only take one storm but it certainly appears the cold is going to dump into the west and northern Rockies and the SE will be dealing with pesky ridging which is common in Ninas.
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Nail in the coffin?
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Any early ideas of what next winter looks like? Nino? Neutral?
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The UK did trend a bit colder
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It's not even that cold here today, up to 43 already.
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That's one thing I have noticed, the timing is getting slower and slower which is allowing more time to warm up
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Still borderline here and won't be much accrual at 32. Needs to trend colder. The chances of getting snow are slim to none here I'm afraid.
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Not falling for the HRRR again, I think its nothing more than a nuisance event to rain here. You could see more serious ice
