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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    The RDPS looks similar to past runs. Maybe a bit more moisture
  2. wncsnow
    I'm thinking it's more of a nuisance event for most with little impact on power issues. Possibly some travel issues.
  3. wncsnow
    DC and most of the mid Atlantic isn't going to like the NAM model. Things are trending towards an inland low track and snow only in the mountains. It still produces a decent amount of ice for the foothills
  4. wncsnow
    One thing I have noticed on basically all the models is this isn't a QPF bomb. Less than .5 for western NC and many places less than .3 Miller B suckiness
  5. wncsnow
    Euro looks meh. Warm and light precip. Has a stronger low in the TN Valley and less CAD. That run was not good for wintry precip even DC is rain
  6. wncsnow
    The precip doesn't look all that heavy especially for western areas.
  7. wncsnow
    I'm hoping for more sleet than ZR here near Marion and thats usually the case here in these setups but thats quite the warm nose
  8. wncsnow
    Yea the NAM has temps here in the upper 20s so it would get dicey with ice.
  9. wncsnow
    Take it for what its worth but at the end of the 18z nam it does not look impressive with the CAD.
  10. wncsnow
    Where's lookout he is very knowledgeable with CAD events
  11. wncsnow
    Well the Euro is still the warmest model probably and shows it going over to rain for most
  12. wncsnow
    It could start as sleet there for a while too
  13. wncsnow
    The UK is starting to look nice too. Some of this would be sleet and ZR
  14. wncsnow
    I think the foothills will start out as snow and sleet then switch over. GFS hints at this. Maybe an inch or 2 before switching to ZR
  15. wncsnow
    The Blue Ridge escarpment begs to differ. Elevation can make things worse trust me.
  16. wncsnow
    Some of this is from the first storm but West Virginia to Central PA turns into snow central. 2 feet lollipops
  17. wncsnow
    Euro doesn't quite get it done. Starts off as mix in western NC North of 40 then goes over to rain. Not heavy qpf west of 77 but about .5 for most. The low is too far north even DC goes over to rain
  18. wncsnow
    The first wave is trending stronger and stronger for Sunday night/Monday. West Virginia could get over 6 inches in spots and most of Western NC gets 1.5 to 2 inches of rain.
  19. wncsnow
    Interesting map, I would have expected the darker blue and white to follow down the eastern slopes of the blue ridge more. I have seen nasty ice storms right along the escarpment and rain in the piedmont plenty of times.
  20. wncsnow
    CAD almost always overperforms here, and with the NAO going negative I don't think the high is going to retreat that quickly. Miller B type systems like this are perfect for CAD setups. The coastal low can help funnel the NE winds down and keep the CAD in place
  21. wncsnow
    Good to hear. I'm hoping we can get sleet and snow here instead of ZR but usually we get all 3 in these type of setups if the parent high is strong enough.
  22. wncsnow
    It will be interesting to see how the NAM handles the CAD once it gets in range since it's usually closest to verification in these setups.
  23. wncsnow
    Take with a grain of salt because of the cold bias but I 40 north should be paying this one close attention for ice storm possibilities.
  24. wncsnow
  25. wncsnow
    The Euro is very interesting, if the CAD is stronger it could be a serious ice storm for I 40 north
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