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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. New GFS has this by tomorrow morning. Very light
  2. Must be a warm bubble directly on the leeside
  3. Its still 37 here. What is your temp?
  4. The sun is still poking through the clouds here
  5. Also the west to east movement of precipitation won't cut it here east of the Apps today. Downsloping and dry air will= virga until the flow changes more SWly tonight. I think we dont get much precip reaching the ground until closer to 8 pm.
  6. I disagree, I think we underperform with precip. Upstream has mostly underperformed. Lower snow totals in Oklahoma. Lighter amounts. Dry air is very deep with this arctic high. I think its an impactful system especially for the foothills, but I dont see the 1.0-1.5 QPF verifying.
  7. Not sure we get an inch of moisture maybe even .75. Lot of folks upstream have under performed. Oklahoma hasnt got half the snow predicted.
  8. A lot of the models have backed off extreme totals of ZR. NWS blend is about .35
  9. Short range all trending south with initial precip. Super close for north of 40 for snow for a few hours now
  10. Models are shifting south, especially the short range high res. Let's see what the Euro says. Every little shift could mean the difference between 2 or 3 inches of sleet or .75 ZR
  11. Doesn't seem like there's any escaping ice now. Anything less than .5 ZR will be a win for us. Ice storm of a lifetime incoming..
  12. Latest from GSP. I am hopeful we get less precip looking at short range guidance
  13. I am beginning to think we might escape the worst of it due to less moisture. Seems like almost every short range model has trended west with the precip and weaker overall.
  14. RRFS doesnt show much precip through late evening tomorrow
  15. This winter has the craziest clown maps ever
  16. Its going to freeze any runoff quickly and roads will remain treacherous
  17. Yeah and we stay below freezing for 95% of it. A quick burst of rain after the damage is done is not going to wash it away in an instant. Lots of wish casting going on tonight
  18. Looks slightly colder at 850 with first wave to me
  19. Nam looks about the exact same as 18Z honestly. Slightly less precipitation
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