wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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GFS AI is also colder and south
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Great run for those who want snow instead of ice
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GFS keeps the Baja low back more. Will be further south but maybe less precipitation.
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GFS looks promising so far
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It could be the start of the north trend. We'll see shortly.
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ICON is North. Lots of freezing rain even in the foothills...
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Yea definitely less than 4 days til go time now. Praying for no major jumps north..
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I will add to pay attention to the NAM within 48 hours of the storm. It does amazingly well in CAD setups with warm noses. Its burned many of us before
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Yes it's bedtime or am I dreaming?
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Euro AI THROWS a curveball with a flatter look.
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A lot of that is sleet and ZR south of 40
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Its trending north though
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I would rather it stay a bit south and not get the Baja low as involved. The SE Ridge can be a real beyatch... I still think most of NC mixes at some point, even N of 85. Va mostly snow.
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I don't like the trends with capturing the Baja low. It could amp too far west and even north of I 85 suffer from ice.
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It's more in line with other guidance now. Let's hope they don't shift North too. Gotta keep that high strong
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It pulled the Baja low so it went north and now looks more like the Euro and AI models
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It wasn't that bad of a run honestly. Well within the possible range of outcomes.
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ICON might be bringing wave 2 right behind
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ICON is more amped for sure. More like Euro AI. Miller A/B hybrid
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Long range has other threats too. Hard to think about with this one 4-5 days out but the next month looks fascinating
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I would say so. Probably somewhat dependent on how far up the coast it goes.
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We just need consistency without major changes and we are in a really good spot. Arguably the best spot right now. We are far northeast enough to take full advantage of CAD and can do well in miller A/B hybrid, and far south enough to avoid missing out completely on some slightly suppressed looks
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18Z euro only goes to 144. There was more coming.
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These could be my famous last words but I just don't see how we miss this one. Its either a huge snow, snow then sleet and ice, or sleet and ice of epic proportions. Its still 5 days out but the windows are narrowing
