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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. I have butted heads with him before on social media. One storm in 2014 he called for a half an inch in Marion and we had 2 inches by the time he put out the graphic. Forecasting on social media isn't easy by no means but he has a way of rubbing people the wrong way at times. Brad P too.
  2. Poor Jason...he hardly ever gets it right and gets hammered on social media regularly.
  3. The simulated radar can be deceiving best to look at QPF totals
  4. That "finger" of overrunning precip is showing up on the GFS for WNC. Good run for western part of state through 45
  5. Hi Res Nam still showing the Lee side screw zone..
  6. This run made me feel a bit better.. It showed more snow here than any run so far
  7. The setup was different but I feel like there are some parallels to the Christmas storm of 2010 with this one. It's a late bloomer, models are all over the place, and there is big potential for overruning to over perform
  8. It is a bit more south this run for sure and slower than 12z but still better than the globals
  9. Why should we expect nice things this horrible winter?
  10. The Euro looks a smidge better for SW NC and worst for eastern and central NC. Suppression city
  11. That's all good and great but you have to remember not all storms trend like the last few with more snow/precip. We can't just assume it will follow the last few threats.
  12. Seems a bit odd to see the ensembles dry out when the operational gets juicier.
  13. It's just now getting good. If the Euro comes in dry again it will really be some model warfare
  14. The RDPS is usually a precursor of what the Canadian will show. Regardless Eastrrn nc looks to be in good shape for accumulating snow
  15. yep I'm screwed with these type of setups unless overrunning overperforms
  16. Gfs looks pretty blah for foothills and western Piedmont with downsloping
  17. Downsloping effects me hard and has burned me before like in March 2008
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