wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Any early ideas of what next winter looks like? Nino? Neutral?
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The UK did trend a bit colder
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It's not even that cold here today, up to 43 already.
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That's one thing I have noticed, the timing is getting slower and slower which is allowing more time to warm up
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Still borderline here and won't be much accrual at 32. Needs to trend colder. The chances of getting snow are slim to none here I'm afraid.
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Not falling for the HRRR again, I think its nothing more than a nuisance event to rain here. You could see more serious ice
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I really thought this could be the one that broke the streak here but it's trending like every other winter event here the past 25 months. In the gutter
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Euro isn't very good and not trending south that's for sure. This is for I 40 areas of NC and foothills/mtns. It's still pretty good for Roanoke to Lynchburg
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UK is a nice hit
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GFS still pretty much sucks unless you are VA north
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I don't think that will be a problem for you this time. No downsloping with the SW flow
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I will take what I can get here after the past 25 months. If it's an inch or 2 of snow and sleet and crusty glaze on top I would be happy
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RDPS looks similar just a tad warmer
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The hi res NAM just doesn't have much heavy precip. Very splotchy with the WAA.
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Keep in mind places with accrual are barely cold enough so it wouldn't be this much. Poor run.
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More of a nuisance event on the NAM for most of NC except for far NW corner and higher elevations on the Blue Ridge
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Not as much moisture or cold as the 18Z.
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This run is a little less aggressive with the overrunning precip and thus a bit warmer for western NC so far
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That's some pretty dry air on the NAM on Saturday afternoon
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RDPS is a lot of sleet here after a half inch/inch of snow then .25 ZP on top
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The Op Euro did not trend south though
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Temps as the heaviest precip moves in
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Lots of ZR
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Maybe an inch of snow and sleet then .40 ZR here om that run. Ouch
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Its a much better run for sure. More snow and sleet on the onset
