wncsnow

And we can't get a trough to center in the right place to save our lives the last 6 or 7 years. There is a tendency for them to center over the lakes or the NE when we need them further west. We could possibly score with that scenario and a strong CAD but the NAO hasnt helped either and the cold scoots away.

As @NorthHillsWx said, the pattern has been too progressive and we really need a tall ridge (+PNA) in the west to get this northern stream energy to dig further south. We are exiting a La Nina but I worry about atmospheric lag. As we all know February and March are usually toast in La Nina years. Most of us haven't seen a big snow in these months since 2014 regardless of the indices.

I posted this 10 days ago. Only thing I would change is the pattern reset time. That may not happen until after Christmas and maybe next year.

Just when I was feeling down about winter weather, I saw shetley commenting on the NWS post about this storm and it made me feel better

Another beautiful drive to Asheville today. Light dusting of snow in Old Fort turned into rime ice on the mountain with the fog and sun breaking through. Wish i could have taken some pictures. As I posted a week or so ago, the pattern is going to likely break down and we are going to warm up for at least a week before Christmas. What happens after that is up in the air but the current colder than normal pattern isn't one that's right for snow for us. We need- 1. A sharper western ridge in the right place- This will lead to energy diving further south to get it where we need it instead of over the Ohio valley. We need it to drop down across the front range. 2. Better southern stream energy. We need a phase to get our best snows and right now the northern stream is squashing the southern stream enough to prevent that. 3. Cold air damming and a 50/50 low to keep it in place. This one might be the most key. The pattern has still been progressive and any highs have been weak or moving away too quickly.

Paste bomb. Prettiest snows by far

Nice coating in Woodlawn/North Cove. Melted quickly though. Some flakes at my house too but its over now. 2 hr delay for schools because the roads are soaked and will be bad.

Eastern VA got some nice banding going on.

Little bit of wet snow mixing in the light rain at my place. 36.

Some gorgeous scenes driving home as there were rain(snow)bows, and the blue ridge revealing snow and ice cover

Define big totals? I think 3-4 inches (only in the grass) could be the big winner with this system. Timing was bad. Middle of the day, rates weren't super heavy, weak system. I'm sure those who got a nice snow globe day are happy. I would be too.

sun breaking out in west AVL.

Boone is getting good rates now on the cams

Looking at cams, I don't think anyone in Virginia met Winter Storm Warning criteria.

The main roads look mostly fine even up in Virginia. If this came in the middle of the night it would have stuck better