ncskywarn
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Everything posted by ncskywarn
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Sorry I deleted my reply it started workingf again.
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ICON is West at 21. Edit: makes landfall near North Topsail at 33 and is moving West inland at 48.
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ICON is West at 21
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NAM is NW made landfall near Wilmington at hour 33 moving W at hour 36 & 39 stalled on the NC & SC border at 42 & 45. Edit: still stalled same place hour 51.
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Todays modle runs have ttrended ever so slightly north. Charlotte
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Here is the 240 hour 12Z Euro map.
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GFS takes Florence as far NW is Eastrern KY at hour 156 then turns back SW thru Western NC at hour 168 to about the midpoint of the SC/GA line at hour 180 with the remnants about to emerge back into the Atlantic off the Southern coast of SC at hour 186. Edit: Actually turns SW again and emerges off the Florida panhandle into the GOM at hour 204.
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Still moving SW just inland approaching the GA border at hour 114. Edit: Turns West into GA at hour 120.
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Landfall in SC from the NE moving SW at hour 102 looks like between Myrtle Beach & Charleston
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Hour 96 Just off shore near the NC/SC state line.
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Stalls just off the NC coast near Sneads Ferry at hour 60 until it starts moving SW at hour 84.
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GFS is a touch NE at hour 36.
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GFS is running just a tad South of 18Z at hour 12
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Nope FL/GA border day 13 haha
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LOL GFS brings Florence back at D9.
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Landfall at 126 near or just North of Charleston Moving NW.
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Neven made landfall moving SW at 108 off shore between Myrtle Beach & Charleston very Euro like.
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It's early but GFS is a little Northeast of 12Z at hour 24 Edit: Even more NE at 36 ridge is not as strong.
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Then comes to a screaching halt there at 96.
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FV3 is SW and ridge is stronger at hour 30
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GFS is definitely West of at hour 54. Ridge is definitely stronger. Not sure it stays off the coast this run.
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GFS is a tad West of 18Z at hour 18. Ridge looks a like stronger lets see wherer it goes.
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New NHC track forecast take it from extream Western Wake County on the 5 pm update to Extream Eastern Wake County and over Wake Forest on the 11 pm track update.
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Start of a new trend? stay tuned. NAM is coming in SW of 18Z at hour 51
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Governor ordered mandatory evac effective noon tomorrow.
