MD Snow

And I’m sure, reminding us of our perfect track rain storm! .

March 9-12 might end up being interesting for someone along the east coast… .

I get it. But it’s on march 10 after the Conus has been flooded with pac puke for weeks. I agree things are getting worse for snow but not sure if this example is the best. I don’t know. I get your frustration. I sometimes wonder if your frustration would be tempered if you lived and experienced what we in the lowlands experience regularly…I know you lived here at one point…If my mean snowfall was almost 40” I’d be pissed to. But we’re like 12-16” down here. We don’t get as much but it doesn’t take near as much to meet expectations. We also have a higher fail rate than you do. Winter of 20/21…I got dustings to an inch here and there to ice over and over again while you racked it up. .

Still some potential on the ops for a sneaky event in the next ten days. Active northern stream with “cold enough” not that far away. .

36/24 Bummer this may end up being drier. Temps have cooled nicely. .

HRRR has areas east of 95 raining for 1-2 hrs before the change over. It really only actually snows for 2 hrs east of 95 between dc/Balt. Will be interesting to see if this verifies. .

The rap and hrrr were giving me 2-8” on Tuesday morning. Got nothing. .

40+ for us in the coastal plain… .

Cmc also. .

Weird times. Last week was the best pattern in the last ten years on our doorstep. 3 discreet threats. Today, 19-20 and 23-25. Then the pattern got canceled. But there’s still a pretty decent chance some in the forum will end up going 3/3 with accumulating snow with all three threats. You’d think this board would be hopping with the potential. However, it’s about as as dead as it gets with most looking to the spring. .

The accumulation map makes sense if the storm evolution plays out like the op euro is depicting. If you have rates, it will accumulate into the metro’s. If it’s drier and precip is Lighter like the op euro shows, it will only accumulate in favored areas. .

They’ve had a pretty rough go of it over the last few years as well. .

Did you see the cmc? Is snowing in Mexico “Deep South” enough? You’ve been harping on how terrible the gfs is doing with the the long range pattern progression yet using it to make a point about no cold air in the long range. All the while other guidance is a good bit colder. Let it play. .

Or you could say, one more shift similar to this and we’re all in the game. It’s already happened this year…atmospheric memory for the win baby! .

This disturbance has been showing on guidance on and off for a while now. Might be a way to luck into something, especially if it falls at night. .