
Barman49
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
Barman49 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Finally started in Southern Bergen. 28 degrees. Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk- 1,011 replies
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Anyone have an idea why the LP on the HRRR doesn't really move from 02z to 07z?? Just sits near Cape May.
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Ok. Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk
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The low is slightly NW and the precip shield is farther north but it's also bigger which is why it's north. Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk
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I noticed that. But again I wouldn't really rely on it for temp profiles especially when they will be right around that 30 degree mark around the city east. Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk
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Yes that was my point. I wasn't talking about the exact precip distribution. Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk
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I was more referring to it never really jumped far NW like most of the other models have. Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk
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Say what you will about it,right or wrong, but the GFS has been about as consistent as it can get with this.
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NAM is better even with that sleet mixed in. No dry slot & SE.
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Both NAM's have the low going east then for whatever reason jump back west. Not sure if this is feedback or something else. But that seems to be affecting the outcomes with precip.
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QPF is low for the entire area. I thought it would've been a little higher.
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Does that jump west again at 34. Otherwise it looks SE and better until then.
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UK Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk
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Looks good with those. Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk
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Yeah need the rest of the frames. Hard to tell with just those two. Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk
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Yup. Need more frames. Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk
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Looks SE of the BM in the blown up frames. We need better images. Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk
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Real strong HP up north. Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk
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The 3k backed into Delaware around hr 51 and the RGEM is north of AC. That's NW of the other models. Sent from my IN2017 using Tapatalk
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I wonder if the NAM & RGEM are doing a last minute jump and tomorrow they bounce back. They really are NW and you'd think they would be more SE with the HP. We'll see tomorrow if it's an over correction or not. At least we got snow.
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It's snow all around that one little blob that goes away on the next frame. Probably not really sleet.
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I think both the NAM & 3K are having some kind of issues. The output doesn't make sense on the NAM and the 3k moves west around hour 50. I wouldn't put much stock into it with either at this range. If they do this tomorrow it would be more of an issue.
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