Its developing too early to be a nick special. The storms that develop near hse usually need substantial blocking to hit here properly from what I've noticed.
Eps is getting squashed a bit as the progressive ridging from the west rolls over top. Eps also a bit more of a trough over labrador causing confluence to the northeast.
I am lol. There is a bit of a law of diminishing returns I guess. The longer it drags into the spring the more it just turns into a grind...especially for smaller or medium events.
UKMET looks okay, a bit far to the south. Would be snow probably imo even though it shows warm surface temperatures and no snow. 850T of -6c and 925T of -2c.
It appears to be very communicable but the fatality rate is fairly low (relatively speaking) especially in areas with better health care. Certainly seems disruptive from an economic standpoint. Worse than sars for sure. Its passed that already.
Okay. Paul is right there is a segment of people including people on this site who think the cpc is always warm and it's part of some agw agenda. But that just isn't true. That's all I'm saying.