
OSUmetstud
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You posted the inoculation shit here. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This is from their website. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/covid-19.htm#understanding-death-data-quality Certifiers are asked to use their best medical judgment based on the available information and their expertise. When a definitive diagnosis cannot be made, but the circumstances are compelling within a reasonable degree of certainty, certifiers may include the terms “probable” or “presumed” in the cause-of-death statement. Cause of Death and COVID-19 When COVID-19 is reported as a cause of death on the death certificate, it is coded and counted as a death due to COVID-19. COVID-19 should not be reported on the death certificate if it did not cause or contribute to the death. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
When did you see these patients and get your M.D? -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
remember when you suggested that young people should be purposely inoculated? ****ing whackjob. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You should go on a public tour of the world and convince everyone to get on with it. Sorry people aren't acting in accordance with your worldview. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I literally posted the CDC regulations above COVID deaths. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
To have a communicable disease as third leading cause in death in the US is a huge deal, and I don't believe has been the case since 1918. It will likely end up being the leading cause of death in both NY and NJ this year and potentially other states depending on how things go in the fall. I actually think people care a great deal about it, but the people who don't are get more amplification via social media. If the majority of people didn't care about the disease or didn't take precautions, it would have already gone through the US population with way more deaths than now as a result. You see obvious population level risk aversion over the whole world in both mobility and open table data, which has slowed down the disease spread considerably from its native Ro. https://www.the-scientist.com/news-opinion/no-the-cdc-has-not-quietly-updated-covid-19-death-estimates-67902 Comorbidity does not mean a preexisting condition, so this 94% claim you're making is false. In the case of Covid, many other causes of death can be listed on the death certificate along with COVID. 5 of these listed here are or can be caused by COVID itself. Obviously, many older people do have preexisting conditions. The top comorbidities, or underlying medical conditions in a COVID-19 death include: Influenza and pneumonia Respiratory failure Hypertensive disease Diabetes Vascular and unspecified dementia Cardiac arrest Heart failure Renal failure Intentional and unintentional injury, poisoning and other adverse events -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Lol alright buddy. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This is from their website. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/covid-19.htm#understanding-death-data-quality Certifiers are asked to use their best medical judgment based on the available information and their expertise. When a definitive diagnosis cannot be made, but the circumstances are compelling within a reasonable degree of certainty, certifiers may include the terms “probable” or “presumed” in the cause-of-death statement. Cause of Death and COVID-19 When COVID-19 is reported as a cause of death on the death certificate, it is coded and counted as a death due to COVID-19. COVID-19 should not be reported on the death certificate if it did not cause or contribute to the death. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I mean its hilarious. We were talking about covid in the usa for the past few days...discussing usa death certificates and ifr estimates. Richard was the one who threw very preliminary worldwide excess deaths at me as some sort of retort but go off. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The cdc standard is that covid contributed to the death actually. Its not just a positive test before death. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Were in the midst of the pandemic. The excess death data is not available from many countries. Flu estimates are done when these data are available. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah, I saw that. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
There's been 2 documented cases. Looks rare so far, so that's good. Also, if you get reinfected, but the reinfection is less severe than the first time because of some acquired T-cell immunity from the first infection, that would be good news, too. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah, that's fair. Does seem interesting how disparate the effects are, even in younger and middle-aged people. Metfan is a younger guy and he had symptoms. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Could be a false positive or you could have just had an asympomatic case. Given where you're from it's more likely to be a true positive than a false positive imo given the prevalence of the infection in downstate NY and the better antibody tests that are available now compared to a few months ago. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
They do, but those aren't available yet in many countries. You know it is possible to be anti-lockdown/business closure while being honest about the virus is and isn't, scientifically speaking. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm sure that they are accurately counting deaths in India and Sub-Saharan Africa. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You are intellectually dishonest. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
We've been talking about the US the whole freaking time. The IFR is ten times higher, it's twice as contagious. The US, because of it being a richer and more developed country will tend to better in counting deaths than poorer countries. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I mean wtf... -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The flu number is symptomatic fatality rate, not infected fatality rate, the IFR is closer to 0.06-0.07. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The IFR is about 10 times seasonal flu and it's like twice a contagious. The flu on average kills 30K per year, we've lost at least 180K (6 times more) and possibly 250k (8 times more) and it's not done. The pelosi thing is just silly political stuff, it's not the same thing as faking death certificates or approving vaccines before they've been properly tested. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah, that's because it's uncommon (not never) to be listed and influenza tests aren't done all the time, which why the CDC uses data and modeling to estimate the flu burden yearly. Do you review all US death certificates? We're testing for COVID a great deal because we're in the middle of pandemic. -
Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
OSUmetstud replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Why doesn’t CDC base its seasonal flu mortality estimates only on death certificates that specifically list influenza? Seasonal influenza may lead to death from other causes, such as pneumonia, congestive heart failure, or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. It has been recognized for many years that influenza is underreported on death certificates. There may be several reasons for underreporting, including that patients aren’t always tested for seasonal influenza virus infection, particularly older adults who are at greatest risk of seasonal influenza complications and death. Even if a patient is tested for influenza, influenza virus infection may not be identified because the influenza virus is only detectable for a limited number of days after infection and many people don’t seek medical care in this interval. Additionally, some deaths – particularly among those 65 years and older – are associated with secondary complications of influenza (including bacterial pneumonias). For these and other reasons, modeling strategies are commonly used to estimate flu-associated deaths. Only counting deaths where influenza was recorded on a death certificate would be a gross underestimation of influenza’s true impact.