I think Saturday morning is the best chance for good LES in BUF now as some warm advection kicks on the tail end of the trough. At least with the synoptic low trending east, you end up getting more snow for Christmas morning.
I think the band starts Friday morning regardless of model qpf outputs. It's a bit sheared then for sure, but good enough for a moderate band of lake effect over the southern side of BUF. It gets better later in the day due to increased instability and less shear.
It doesnt look like a big lightning producer to me, maybe an odd strike or two. The inversion is close to 700mb which is fine for heavy snow in a cold airmass, but its not great for lightning as the -10c isotherm is so close to the ground.
Yes. Especially given he fought the virus through passive vaccination (the antibody therapy). Its possible he doesn't have his own antibodies and the injected one will wane and he won't have memory B cells. Fauci said he'd get the vaccine on camera...im hoping others will too.
Its interesting data for sure. I'm guessing that all the restrictions in NY at the restaurants and gyms make them relatively safe (they wouldn't be under normal circumstances) whereas you cant do the same deal in the home.