NGTim

so happy for @dsaur have loved reading his stories about sleet all these years. pulling for you!!!

seems almost every storm that hits, there is always a period where the models lose it, then get it back again (if it is destined to happen). I thought that would have occurred a day or so ago but it didn't. hoping this is just the normal pump the brakes, then back to full speed ahead of a glorious Friday for all (or most) of us.

excellent. didn't think about snow pack, cold ground, evap cooling, and Especially precip falling at night. good stuff!

I really want to take something to knock me out till maybe Thursday cause this is like hoping your team makes it through the playoffs to the championship game. But, seriously, trying to temper things just in case. On a scale of 1 to 10, what do we need to watch out for (those things like after a bust, we say the xyz got us). I feel like most of these are zero or on the very low end, except maybe warm nose. 1 no worry < - - - - > 10 worry ----------------------------------------- 1) Sun Angle (guessing zero) 2) Warm Nose - 6?, 7? 3) Gulf convection robbing moisture (haven't heard anything so I assume none) 4) Went too negative tilt 5) Too positive tilt 6) High was in the wrong position 7) Cold couldn't get past the mountains (cold already locked in place i think)

Granted I'm only looking at GFS, but it seems extreme NE GA (upper Lake Lanier to the intersection of GA/NC/SC) (selfishly the spot i look at) looks good even going back several runs, and trending even better each time.

Thinking about you guys I know yall will be dealing with this for months and years to come. I know some of you have lost an unimaginable much. Don't know anyone other than screen names (well, other than MotoWxman) but feel i know you as friends reading your posts all these years. And i forgot to update on the guy from my church that was stuck in Montreat (thanks for the info yall gave me). Anyway, couple days later an excavator and several guys with chainsaws just appeared, fixed the road, cleared the trees, and all 12 were able to get back to Georgia safely. High Country Strong! I suspect in years to come there will be a lot of ptsd when a hurricane runs up through the states below or beside you.

Thank you guys that helps to know

If this is not allowed here or if this is not the right place, please feel free to delete but was wondering if there is anybody on here in Montreat. I got a call from someone from my church and 12 are stranded at a cabin and it’s been suggested to send the church van from Ga to get them after they walk to town. He is saying they are just gonna have to leave their cars at the cabin. Based on what I’m reading, it may not be possible logistically for us to even get to Montreat so if there’s anybody local that can PM me, I would appreciate it.

wow i'm just catching up and went through the last 24 hours of posts. congratulations!!! you guys deserve it. how long has it been since so many in this thread got so much? seems like forever to me. Anyway, thanks for laying down the snowpack for us further South.

Heres a few pics i took on Anemone trail and Red Rocks and in downtown Boulder this weekend.

last one!

wow can't imagine that. I suddenly realized when i was hiking up that mountain at sunrise Monday morning that I was concerned about an avalanche. that was a first for me and it was a little unsettling. But then i got past that and started to worry about mountain lions as i was the only one out there at that time. I do have a question, when they got 98 inches, what was the GFS showing prior to that, 300 inches? ;-)