Tatamy
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Everything posted by Tatamy
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18z NAM - still snowing across the region at 84 hours. The run total would include the Monday event. -
18z NAM
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18z HRRR
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18z NAM starts in less than an hour.
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Here is nice view of how that 850mb jet crushes the mountains of northern NJ and NE Pennsylvania.
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About a half inch in some places. Euro is not in for tomorrow's "event".
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Albany got 2.7" and the Adirondacks got zip on this run of the Euro. They will get theirs this winter.
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Exactly.
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Albany is in a valley location. How are they going to get the snow amount forecasted with that easterly flow at 850mb coming over the mountains of central New England. Based on the orographics alone this outcome on the Ukie is very suspect.
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It took your snow and is dumping it on Albany now... lol
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Albany went from 3.7" at 0z to 20.5" at 12z at 96 hours. That does seem odd...
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12z GEFS
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I have had one of those 28 inch Yard machine blowers for 12 years now. It's a really nice machine. Good for you on getting that deal - that is a fantastic price.
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12z NAM
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12z HRRR
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I received 30” here. The airport at Allentown measured 31.9”. Up in the Carbon Cty area that you are referring to totals were less with amounts ranging from 10 to 20” depending on your location. That was near the northern edge of the storm’s effects.
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The winds with Jonas were strong around the NYC area but not so much further inland. This storm will bring strong winds further inland as well.
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I would not speak to soon regarding the outcome of this storm and whether it matches Jonas. As currently modeled this storm will be accompanied by strong gusty winds to 50 mph or more. This will whip up the dry powdery snow into huge drifts of up to 6-10 feet or more in many places This is the type of storm that can shut down highways for several days exacerbating existing supply chain shortages across many industries. This is what a crippling blizzard does.
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18z GEFS
