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Tatamy

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Everything posted by Tatamy

  1. Tatamy
    30/22 and cloudy. Still waiting on precip here. Expecting a 2-3 hour period of snow before a quick change to rain. Interesting that none of the roads around my area were brined yesterday.
  2. Tatamy
    I will add my 2 cents on this topic. As it looks now this event looks questionable to attain a NESIS rating. Do we want to consider that as a possible parameter for events of this type going forward?
  3. Tatamy
    This continues to be a highly interesting storm to track. Multiple models have the rain/snow line within 10 miles north or south of my house. The line seems to flip with each run. For 06z I have been NAMed. I do agree with your statement about less surprises however this storm certainly looks to be a good test of model precision.
  4. Tatamy
    I am thinking 1-2” for me before a mix/change to rain. Definitely going for the under with this event by me with the models setting up the rain/snow line across my area.
  5. Tatamy
    Light snow 35/28
  6. Tatamy
    Very true. Interesting to track.
  7. Tatamy
    With the 06z run the EC AI guidance is more aligned with most of the other models WRT expected snow totals. The EC OP is on the SE side of the envelope.
  8. Tatamy
    Back in the 70s/80s in many instances that was true.
  9. Tatamy
    That 12z EC run is epic for places N&W of I95. You don’t even see that in the dead of winter.
  10. Tatamy
    The clickbait crowd will be going into overdrive. Imagine all the weather segments that will lead with this…
  11. Tatamy
    The I78 Deathband event in PA, NJ, and parts of the city. It was like a synoptic scale lake effect streamer. The town south of me had 6” on the north end and 10” on the south end (5 minute drive). Similar in parts of NJ.
  12. Tatamy
    Snow level is quite high in the Poconos early this morning. Looks like you have to be at least 1500’ up to see steady snow currently and even there it’s difficult to find it sticking anywhere. Places lower than that don’t look to see more than a mix at times.
  13. Tatamy
    Still a few LE flurries and very light snow showers lurking out here.
  14. Tatamy
    Watching those quick moving snow showers and squalls moving through northern and western NJ currently. Getting a snow shower now.
  15. Tatamy
    Seeing my first light flurries of the season here. A look at traffic cams along I80 and I84 in NE PA shows widespread light snow and flurries with light accumulations especially above 800-1000 ft. This is heading out towards northern New Jersey.
  16. Tatamy
    Do you have any thoughts regarding the last 4 runs of the CFS for next week?
  17. Tatamy
    Stations that I follow on Fire Island are measuring wind gusts of 40-50 mph this afternoon. My max gust so far today is 41 mph at Cherry Grove.
  18. Tatamy
    Topographical Map of western Jamaica
  19. Tatamy
    Eventually the longer term pattern will change. It’s well known that the north shore is the place to be on LI during winter storms with the added moisture from the sound entraining into the synoptic scale precipitation bands. Now the pattern is more like that of 70s/80s with the coastal hugger storm tracks. I moved out to PA in 2005 and you guys probably got 3x more snow since then through 20/21 than what I saw here.
  20. Tatamy
    Absolutely true.
  21. Tatamy
    I grew up in East Northport so I can tell you that the combination of the slightly higher elevations on the north shore and a very light breeze off the sound during the overnight hours messed up many a frost opportunity with this type of synoptic setup. It’s why places in the center of the island and out by Westhampton are usually the cold spots.
  22. Tatamy
    I am thinking the same for here. There has actually already been frost in my neighborhood in the low spots but not in my yard (I am on a hill top).
  23. Tatamy
    We need Arctic stream involvement for snow to the coast this time of year. Polar stream involvement means possible snow for the Poconos/Catskills.
  24. Tatamy
    .54 here to green up the grass.
  25. Tatamy
    Total yesterday here was 2.35”. Nice overperformer.
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