Tatamy

The 2/16 event was also known as the I-78 death band. I took these pictures the morning after. The one with the highway interchange in it was at a car dealership on the north side of Hellertown, PA. About 5-6” fell there. The other one was at a car dealership on the south side. 10” fell there. Crazy stuff

Icon is an outlier. Go with a blend of the other models knowing that this is an IVT and will probably leave a lot of people disappointed.

What you are seeing are the globals trying to position an IVT from several days out. I would be very cautious with this setup.

In the first 8 decades on the list there are 37 winter seasons with seasonal totals of 30” or more. In the last 8 decades there are 22. And yes the remaining winter seasons of this decade could add another 6 to that total if everything goes just right. It’s true that there other ways to analyze this. However even if we are lucky enough to get 2 or 3 30” winters in the remaining years of this decade there is still a big difference in the numbers.

Listed below is a summary of winters by decade that had 30” or more of snow in Central Park. This is from the NWS website. The numbers speak for themselves. Seasonal snow totals are declining with global warming. A lot of people were spoiled by the number of large storms that occurred in the first two decades of this century. Unfortunately these storms and the resulting higher snow totals were not representative of the longer term seasonal norms for this region. It’s a bitter pill for snow lovers to swallow however this is climatology. 1870s - 5 1880s - 7 1890s - 5 1900s - 4 1910s - 5 1920s - 2 1930s - 4 1940s - 5 1950s - 2 1960s - 4 1970s - 1 1980s - 0 1990s - 2 2000s - 6 2010s - 6 2020s - 1

Have 0.3” of mainly sleet and ice OTG.

Mix of Snow/sleet. 33F

Have the same happening here.

Huge changes run to run. They are really struggling with this pattern.

Currently 12F here

I was going to ask what you did to that model… lol

Storm total for this event 1.80”. Cold air arriving here with the temp down to 38.

Winds are starting to crank here as the cold front slowly approaches. Recent wind gust to 29 mph and I am well inland. Winds will really start to crank along the coast soon.

After I married I moved from E Northport to Brentwood and then Sayville. There is definitely a big difference year round between the center and south shore of the island and the north shore. Now I am in eastern PA and that is even more different. Good luck with your move.

Just recorded a wind gust to 35 mph as this squall arrives.

This is what it looks like on the west side of Allentown right now.

Round #3 is on its way. Heavy snow showers/squalls are just west of Allentown. This activity looks to be low topped as it is just coming into view on the Mt. Holly radar. Visibility out in that area has really dropped in association with this activity as seen on I78 traffic cams.

The line of echoes across western and NW NJ and eastern PS contains heavier snow showers. The rates are like a squall but the winds do not meet the criteria. In any case we have a fresh half inch here. 33/32

A couple members on the GEFS biting on it however the mean is still well north and west.

Very light snow and flurries here. 36/23

Snow squalls that sometimes affect eastern PA and parts of northern and western NJ are typically the ends of lake effect streamers that have some channelized vorticity with them to keep them going. Without that vorticity they do die out in the Poconos and Catskills and the downsloping finishes the process.

Very narrow snow swath from the snow squall yesterday evening. Most of the Lehigh Valley just got flurries except for my area with 0.5”

Low here of 23. Combination of snow, frost, and black ice didn’t seem to have much impact on temperatures even with calm winds most of the night.

Six hour maximum wind gusts from the 06z Euro for tomorrow as of 7 pm.