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Everything posted by Tatamy
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Exact same conditions here. Now all steady wet snow - coating on the ground - Visibility 1 mile 33.0F
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Mixed snow sleet and rain here. 34.3F
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0z NAM
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0z HRRR
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In my view the 12z Ukie can definitely be disregarded however I would be cautious about tossing the GFS / GEFS. If the GFS suite were to verify this would not be the first time where confluence over New England forced a winter storm off to the south of us. I would incorporate a blend of these models.
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I've been liking mine in the Lehigh Valley in Bethlehem Twp. PA.
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18z RGEM at 18 hours - still snowing
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18z NAM - still snowing across the region at 84 hours. The run total would include the Monday event.
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18z NAM
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18z HRRR
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Here is nice view of how that 850mb jet crushes the mountains of northern NJ and NE Pennsylvania.
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About a half inch in some places. Euro is not in for tomorrow's "event".
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Albany got 2.7" and the Adirondacks got zip on this run of the Euro. They will get theirs this winter.
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Albany is in a valley location. How are they going to get the snow amount forecasted with that easterly flow at 850mb coming over the mountains of central New England. Based on the orographics alone this outcome on the Ukie is very suspect.
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It took your snow and is dumping it on Albany now... lol
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Albany went from 3.7" at 0z to 20.5" at 12z at 96 hours. That does seem odd...
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