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Tatamy

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Everything posted by Tatamy

  1. Tatamy
    I have 1” new this morning and was forecast to get 1/2” for the entire day. Big time fluff factor here.
  2. Tatamy
    Steady light snow continues. 27* with 1 mile visibility. 1” new OTG. Big time fluff factor with this snow.
  3. Tatamy
    Mesos showed me getting an inch or so today. Already 1/2” OTG.
  4. Tatamy
    Steady light snow- 1 mile visibility.
  5. Tatamy
    I am in the screw zone and expect to be on the west side of the gradient. In any case this is what it looks like out here at the current time.
  6. Tatamy
    Snowing here with 1 mile visibility.
  7. Tatamy
    Snow is rapidly breaking out across south central PA with the overrunning. Are we going to get an Obs thread set up for this?
  8. Tatamy
    This is what 30” looks like (from 1/2016)
  9. Tatamy
    Are you ready to shovel 24”? I had that a year ago this weekend. I will pass on that.
  10. Tatamy
    Check out the mesos (HRRR/RAP) for tomorrow for northern NJ. If this overrunning happens you will be pushing snow from your driveway.
  11. Tatamy
    That is the flight that will be sampling the western Atlantic for the 0z runs. There are two flights scheduled to go out over the PAC as well. Again the intention is for this data to make it into the 0z model suite. The update for tomorrow is for two flights over the western Atlantic and two over the PAC.
  12. Tatamy
    I am out in Bethlehem, PA - not really expecting anything. What is crazy are some of those EPS members. By my count 10 of those 50 members would give me 12” +. Brings new definition to the term “Go big or go home.”
  13. Tatamy
    06z Euro has 3-6” across the area with 6”+ across eastern LI and down closer to ACY in S NJ. Lesser amounts to the N&W.
  14. Tatamy
    06z Euro shifts east
  15. Tatamy
    No the Euro output cannot be discounted at this time.
  16. Tatamy
    The wild card in all this is what will come from the data collected on the recon flight today and the 3 additional flights tomorrow. The data from today’s flight is expected to reflect in the 0z model suite.
  17. Tatamy
    Yes it is
  18. Tatamy
    This would come from 20:1 ratios. Do you really think the ratios go that high?
  19. Tatamy
    Wait to tomorrow when they send out 3 planes. 1 out to the Atlantic and 2 out to the PAC. Another day of model gyrations coming up.
  20. Tatamy
    18z Euro is 6-12” from the city S and E and 3-6” to the N and W. What is not to like about that?
  21. Tatamy
    The Euro was the model that went nuts with this one in recent runs. The other models were further east or going that direction. The NAM went big on this this morning for that one run.
  22. Tatamy
    18z RGEM holds serve from the 12z run. Brings a few inches to the Jersey shore and several inches out on LI.
  23. Tatamy
    18z ICON still has the storm however it is further east like the rest of the models. Still brings a few inches to coastal areas.
  24. Tatamy
    On the NHC website they have indicated that they are flying three more winter recon flights tomorrow. One flight will be over the Atlantic and two more over the PAC. This could lead to more model gyrations over the next 24 hours.
  25. Tatamy
    I got two feet a year ago. I knew I was very unlikely to get anything substantive from this one. This was always going to be a coastal event assuming it would happen. I feel sorry for you guys on the coast with this latest turn of events on the models.
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