Tatamy

They confirmed today that this was in fact a tornado. It was rated EF0 and the path ran for 3/4 mile in a remote wooded area near the Lakehurst Naval Air Station. They needed an aerial survey in order to get confirmation.

I received 0.01”. They literally ran out of gas a few blocks from me. Lol

Fred was not upgraded to a TS at 11pm. NHC now expecting it to regain TS status during Friday. Recon says that the mid level center is still 40 miles east of the LLC. This means reintensification will be slow to occur at best.

Did you read the 5pm discussion from the NHC? The part about 20 kts of shear and a lack of organization? The system is not projected to re-attain Tropical Storm status until Friday night when it passes 100 miles south of Miami. This is not going to hit Miami as a hurricane. There may well be other storms that threaten Miami with hurricane force winds this season but not this one.

I posted on the potential for this to happen yesterday. It’s not uncommon for this to happen especially with these weaker systems.

Next step with this storm is to see if it re-centers itself along the north coast of Hispaniola while crossing the mountains. Time to look for evidence of that would be this evening. If this occurs it will have implications on the track going forward.

Next round is on its way in. IMG_0609.mp4

Currently getting a rain shower with light winds and no lightning. So much for the bow echo anyways. Will watch to see if it pulses up as it moves into Warren Cty.

Intense squall line with a healthy looking bow echo now moving into my area from west of Allentown.

If this system interacts with Hispaniola as shown on the expected track, let’s watch to see if it recenters along the north coast. This is not unusual with these weaker systems and will have implications on the eventual track as it tracks north of Cuba.

I checked on the Davis site. Two stations in Miller Place. 1.28” and 1.42” are the totals so far.

Why weren’t you at your house in the Poconos this weekend?

Gorgeous weather out here today with no rain at all. Sunny, 85 with light winds and scattered Cu. We are fortunate to be under an area of subsidence between the coastal system and another one over the upper Midwest.

The line is getting ready to cross Blue Mountain and move across the Lehigh Valley. With light rain and temperatures in the 60s here it does not appear that this feature will have too much left by the time it reaches the Delaware River Valley and western NJ.

Mt. Holly reports EF3 damage in the Bensalem/Trevose area in Bucks Cty. from yesterday’s storms.

Mt. Holly has just updated. They report EF3 damage in the Bensalem/Trevose area in Bucks Cty.

I checked out the damage near Hellertown. Looks like a downburst to me

No.

Use one that is wireless to keep the critters at bay. You can mount it on a deck or fence post if you don’t want to go up to your roof (a shed/garage roof will work fine).

Do you have a weather station at your place?

Mt. Holly has confirmed 2 EF1 tornadoes in Ocean Cty., NJ yesterday. One was in Watertown and the other in the Cedar Bridge area of Barnegat Twp.

They are up and running so I guess they did.

I will add that a station in Lehighton had 1.18”

I checked on the Davis site. Stations in Lake Harmony and Blakeslee recorded 1.08” and 1.00” respectively in the past 24 hours. These are the closest sites to your community.

They have a big job ahead of them with the storm surveys. The longer length tracks are going to run from about Solebury, PA to Hamilton Square, NJ. It looks like there were touchdowns near Lakehurst, NJ and Barnegat, NJ. The track across south central NJ could be longer because much of it was in less populated and heavily wooded areas so no immediate reports are available. The more violent tornado(s) near Bensalem and Trevor had shorter tracks. There are also shorter tracks to be possibly documented near Allentown. If you have not already done so look at the video posted by Newman on the Philly sub forum of the spectacular tornado near Lebanon, PA. I am basing my comments upon the live radar reports that I saw on NBC 10 yesterday evening. Those folks did a good job tracking these storms.