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Tatamy

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  1. Tatamy
    From a meteorological perspective Sandy was a hybrid storm for a good part of its existence outside of the Caribbean. It comes down to the realization on the part of the NHC that both subtropical and tropical storms can be highly destructive. At the end of the day the public needs to be warned in advance of a system that can bring high winds, storm surge, and heavy flooding rains. Both of these types of storms can do that. Up to about a decade or so ago only tropical systems were named and subtropical ones weren’t unless they became tropical. Now both are and the process/experience with how Sandy was tracked and the agencies responsible to do so were crystallized. A true hurricane is defined by its scientific/meteorological characteristics and the definition is not going to be changed for the sake of issuing warnings. That is why we have the current system in place. Regarding the Saffir/Simpson scale, this was developed by pioneering tropical meteorologists back in the 60s and 70s. I believe it serves its purpose well. To relate the scale to wind increments of 5 mph makes no sense. The purpose of the scale is to relate the wind speeds and overall intensity of it to the potential damage and it can and does cause.
  2. Tatamy
    I was outside of my house that night listening to it roar overhead. I have never heard anything like that before or since.
  3. Tatamy
    It’s amazing how short people’s memories are. Numerous wind gusts to hurricane force across LI including 90 mph at Islip. Just about Every road and train tunnel to Manhattan flooded out. 53 people dead in NY. $40 billion + in damages. Massive damage along the NJ shore. With regards to its status at landfall I think that had to do with politics. Insurance companies had to pay more due to it being classified as other than a hurricane (my opinion).
  4. Tatamy
    How about Sandy in 2012?
  5. Tatamy
    No full moon out here. The moisture from Henri has circled all the way around from CT, SE NY, and northern NJ and found it’s way to eastern PA. It’s been pouring out here tonight after a drizzly day. 2.01” on the day so far.
  6. Tatamy
    The attached photo is of the ferry dock at Cherry Grove on Fire Island. The dock is typically at least 3’ above the mean water level. In this shot it’s almost even with the dock. It looks like the storm surge warnings verified.
  7. Tatamy
    Pressure now down at SE light to 989 mb.
  8. Tatamy
    I am sorry- I was referring to the location of the station as being on Block Island and using BID as an acronym. My bad.
  9. Tatamy
    No - they are from a station on WU at Southeast Light at Mohegan Bluffs. It’s a Davis Vantage Vue mounted on a pole on a roof top.
  10. Tatamy
    Pressure at BID down to 992 mb. Recent wind gust to 68 mph.
  11. Tatamy
    BID just gusted to 66 mph.
  12. Tatamy
    Just reached 61 mph at BID.
  13. Tatamy
    You have to go out to eastern Suffolk to find strong winds. I found a station out in Baiting Hollow at Reeves Beach on WU overlooking the Sound with a recent gust to 49 mph.
  14. Tatamy
    Following two WU stations on BID as the NW eyewall of Henri approaches. Highest gusts are 54 and 56 mph.
  15. Tatamy
    Following two WU stations on BID as the NW eyewall of Henri approaches. Highest gusts so far are 54 and 56 mph.
  16. Tatamy
    I checked the Davis site for stations in midtown. Multiple reports of 1.5 to 2” with one report of over 3”.
  17. Tatamy
    I looked at the Davis site for stations in midtown. Multiple reports of 1.5” to 2” so far. One report of over 3” posted.
  18. Tatamy
    That was related to the sting jet that set up to the south and west of the center.
  19. Tatamy
    Total opposite out here in Bethlehem PA. Full sun, hardly a cloud in the sky, and calm winds.
  20. Tatamy
    The NAM led the way east a few runs ago. Now the 06z NAM says I don’t think so. This track has been closely related to the intensity of the storm. In the 5am advisory the NHC noted that the shear is finally beginning to relax. I am guessing that the NAM is seeing that and the resulting greater intensity potential and hence the move back west. If the storm does intensify today there could be some potentially threatening model runs for LI and the remainder of the region. In any case the strongest winds with this event will be felt along the south shore and the east end particularly along the barrier beaches. At 5am the NHC discontinued the hurricane watch for most of SE MA including Cape Cod. They reiterate that conditions will be favorable for strengthening for the next 12-18 hours. Hurricane conditions are expected to begin late tonight or Sunday for parts of LI and CT. The next recon is due into the storm at 1200 UTC.
  21. Tatamy
    Makes landfall in the Hamptons.
  22. Tatamy
    Not entirely correct. Wind will be more of a factor on eastern LI. All coastal areas will be be at some degree of risk from storm surge impacts. NWS is expecting up to a 2’ foot storm surge along the south shore of Nassau to 3’ out in the Hamptons. This is why they have issued a storm surge watch.
  23. Tatamy
    06z Euro goes into southern RI.
  24. Tatamy
    It was at 915 mb at 45 hours while east of OC. Winds with that type of pressure would make this a Cat 5. Good thing it’s fantasy.
  25. Tatamy
    Wow. I am thinking we may be looking at a 100 mph hurricane east of the Virginia coast during the day on Saturday. Full moon aligns with high tide Sunday morning along the coast. I hope for the sake of the Metro area that if it hooks to the north and west it does so towards New England.
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