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Tatamy

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Everything posted by Tatamy

  1. Just checked some stations along Fire Island. It seems that the winds have gone calm or nearly calm and the pressure has leveled off/bottomed out. This is the case at a number of locations that I have looked at ranging from Ocean Beach on east.
  2. There is wind in the NYC metro area. It’s along immediate coastal areas where the models have been forecasting it to be. Later on could be a much different story.
  3. There is no question that the departure of the heavy rains is going to effect the ability of the stronger winds to mix down. That’s a given. When the first round of heavier echoes went through my area earlier I gusted to over 20 mph. Now it’s back to almost calm with the lighter rain that I am seeing now.
  4. The Euro has been showing this potential since yesterday at least. The question is whether these winds mix down over land vs the coastal waters as modeled. SLP won’t be deepening as it retrogrades to the west and SW over the coastal areas. It will have leveled off in intensity as it makes this motion and would tend to help spare land areas. Models that bring the center of SLP closer to the NY region have been relatively consistent with the idea of the strongest winds mixing down over the coastal waters. You won’t have to go far to find these winds as they would rake areas including LI Sound and the Great South Bay.
  5. I have both. Davis is better. Weatherflow is not as good with rain fall amounts. In heavy rains the ultrasonic wind equipment gets faded out so you don’t get accurate wind measurements. Stick with Vantage Vue or Vantage Pro 2.
  6. This product only shows wind gusts of up to 60 MPH. By extropolation and the fact that both the Euro and NAM are forecasting SLP with pressures in the 970's I would argue that off shore wind gusts would have to be in the range of 80 - 100 mph with resulting seas.
  7. We have had a few light showers as well this afternoon. It’s a chilly one now as the temperature has dropped to 52. 26 hours ago it was 80.
  8. Just had a wind gust to 33 mph with the approach of this squall line.
  9. We are getting underway with a squall line now forming up west of Allentown and moving to the east and northeast.
  10. I bought a house out in Sayville in 1995. Once we moved in we decided to have 10+ large trees removed. These were large Oaks. I counted the rings on all of them and the larger ones all dated to 1939. The island was sparsely populated then however there is no doubt that the destruction to trees in the area had to have been catastrophic following 9/21/1938. Tree rings can tell you a lot.
  11. Belle caused hundreds of thousands of power outages across LI.
  12. You need to be careful what you wish for. If a Cat 1 does make landfall somewhere in the area you outlined it will be destructive for at least some of us. I had the opportunity to see the tornado damage done in Bucks Cty, PA this year by Ida and trust me you would not want to see that in your neighborhood.
  13. Big temperature gradient in my area with low 60s in Sussex and parts of Warren Cty’s in NJ to low 80s just south and west of Allentown.
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