Tatamy
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Everything posted by Tatamy
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Yes it did.
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Those were lean years back in the 70s and 80s however you did get an unexpected snowstorm on 12/6/81 that dumped 16-24” from Boston to Providence.
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I was around for that one (PD1). I was living on the north shore of LI at the time. We did get snow for that- 7” worth with more in NYC and Jersey. The kicker for that one was a large part of LI Sound was frozen over. Like east facing coastal areas in NE we would get a bump in accumulations with storms that have a low level flow from the E and NE. With the frozen coastal waters our totals were cut in addition to what resulted from the synoptic setup.
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You don’t have to wait until spring in order to obtain produce from your garden. I have lettuce and parsley growing in mine right now. They are quite hardy and will withstand cold temperatures. I have been down to 17 with calm winds and our plants are fine.
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For those following this event on the models there have been large differences in the placement of the expected snow accumulations. In any case at this time there is steady snow falling in places primarily to the south and west of Harrisburg and State College. Radar shows the area of heavier precip in that area. The echoes to the north and east of there are primarily virga. What is interesting right now is moderate to heavy snow coming down in a burst in some places to the SW of Harrisburg along I81. In particular I just saw a visibility of about 1/4 mile near Chambersburg. -
Light Snow/Graupel mix here. 0.5” new. 28*
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0.12” overnight. No ice here however all surfaces are wet. 32*
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Light drizzle here with 33.
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Two days in a row with temps in the teens. 18 yesterday and 19 this morning.
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Strongly agree. GFS in particular is flopping around like a big fish thrown out of the water.
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Cold front is through here. Wind gust to 43 mph during the past hour. High temperature of 64. Now down to 50.
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Getting some mood flakes out here with those echoes crossing eastern PA and western NJ.
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Ant - you are too dedicated to this process (I have been tracking it nonstop as well all the while it has been circling the drain so to speak on the models). We will get our chances this winter however this is not it.
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Those echoes across eastern PA are all Virga at this time. I checked traffic cams in the area and nothing is reaching the ground. One report of snow from the Reading area on mPING. Amounts to zippo look good…
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I think that might be stretching it a bit. I am up in that area a couple of times a week at least and most of the time the ground is bare. The last time when I was up there and saw snow was about a week ago.
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These strong winds will be going on for a while. I just had my highest gust of the night at 38 mph.
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Walt has already posted about the potential for strong winds with the cold front passage this evening. I am seeing that occurring right now in places just west of Allentown on stations that report on WU and the Davis Network. Wind gusts to 30mph on these types of stations will translate to gusts up to and over 40 mph at the NWS reporting stations. Mt. Holly has already issued a SWS for this threat for my area.
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On the 18z GEFS 10 / 20 members are biting on this one for the NYC region. 8 / 10 are 6”+ for at least part of the metro area.
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Interesting dataset off of the 12z GFS at 210 hours: No support in the ensembles for it.
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06z GEFS also has a lot of members showing this. The best probabilities continue to lie to the north and west. As Walt indicated this will be primarily an I84 type event.
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You had to be quite high or well north and west to get any accumulation. I passed through Bear Creek, PA on Tuesday 1931’ elevation and they had about 1” new OTG. In the Poconos you had to be above 1000’ to see a coating. Just goes to tell how difficult it has been to get snow on the ground so far this season.
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Fair amount of interest out there on the models today for this one especially from the city on to the north and west. The CMC / Euro have this one along with 7 members of the GEFS. This is by no means anything overly significant however it is something to watch.
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Steady light snow with visibility of about a mile. 35*
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Not sure if anyone has looked at the 12z UKmet or the 12z Euro but both OP runs have bought into the system for Saturday hinted at by the ensembles earlier. Three members had it at 06z and 5 had it at 12z. The Euro has the event for next week for eastern NE as well.
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If you want to dig around in the models the 06z Ensemble run has 3 members that dig the short wave that is progged to pass across northern NE this weekend to a much greater degree than the mean.
