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Tatamy

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Everything posted by Tatamy

  1. Tatamy
    We do need to watch the position of the 850 mb low on the Euro AI. These screenshots are from 12z and 18z. It’s getting further north and that will act to promote mid level warming.
  2. Tatamy
    18z Euro has a front end thump of 7-10” for coastal areas before going to a lighter wintry mix. Inland areas get 10-15”+. The main feature is SLP that is tucked into the Delmarva and southern NJ coast. This is still a significant storm for the area.
  3. Tatamy
    No mixing issues shown on this model in the NY Metro area.
  4. Tatamy
    That’s nuts. I don’t want five feet of snow in my neighborhood.
  5. Tatamy
    There’s actually a burst of snow at the end.
  6. Tatamy
    FWIW the CMC has a history of being on the north side of the guidance at this stage.
  7. Tatamy
    Ukie is a much different evolution as compared to 0Z. It does mix with a little sleet but is still a big hit.
  8. Tatamy
    The NAM can probably barely contain its excitement over being able to work that warm nose in another day or so.
  9. Tatamy
    Huge run on the 06z EPS mean as well.
  10. Tatamy
    Euro AI is a big hit across the area.
  11. Tatamy
    Definitely precip issues with the Ukie for at least part of the area.
  12. Tatamy
    Agree. The pictured event took place with temperatures between 28 and 30. It caused widespread power outages
  13. Tatamy
    Your comment is not correct. These photos were taken on January 14th, 1978 at East Northport on Long Island. Heavy rain fell most of the night with below freezing temperatures resulting in this severe ice storm.
  14. Tatamy
    I hired a contractor for this weekend. I did my fair share this past weekend.
  15. Tatamy
    Next weekend. GEFS is a work in progress.
  16. Tatamy
    4.2” total for today. 8.4” total for the weekend. I received 2” tonight which I was definitely not expecting.
  17. Tatamy
    Correct- I am at 8.4” for the weekend.
  18. Tatamy
    It’s been the same here. It’s been going since 4:30 AM. 2.2”
  19. Tatamy
    These are today’s ensemble outputs along with the Euro AI output. I do not ever recall seeing the widespread 6”+ amounts over virtually all of the NE part of the country on these models.
  20. Tatamy
    I think you are correct. The echos where I am in eastern PA are steady very light snow.
  21. Tatamy
    It is very interesting to watch.
  22. Tatamy
    Those echoes over SE PA actually have the look of an inverted trough.
  23. Tatamy
    Montauk looks like white rain.
  24. Tatamy
    2” new this morning. Weekend total 6.2”. We have tapered down to very light snow/flurries.
  25. Tatamy
    GFS had 1-2” for my much of my area on some of the recent runs overnight. Had 4-6”. So much for the GFS.
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