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Tatamy

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Everything posted by Tatamy

  1. If this works out we are looking at 2-4” across the area Tuesday night.
  2. That is very possible. There is actually a lot of support from the 12z mesos for the amounts you noted. With all the focus on the Friday night system and whether or not it goes OTS or not I will take what we can get from this one.
  3. The NAM just managed to draw a walk with the last event. It consistently over did mid level warming in my area and was way under with snowfall estimates. This time around it was the HRRR/RAP FTW. It did do okay in the coastal areas.
  4. This type of snow activity tends to be low topped and the activity up in the Poconos is not always well picked up by radar from Mt. Holly. I can’t tell you what the conditions are like up there now however in the space of 5 minutes we went from 3/8 mile visibility to just a few flurries. I would guess that conditions are improving up there.
  5. Mt. Holly has a special weather statement for this feature indicating the potential for 1/2” to 1” of accumulation for the area extending from the Lehigh Valley across central NJ down to the area of Toms River, NJ.
  6. A lake effect streamer has set up shop over eastern PA and far western NJ. Have been seeing some light snow and flurries around for a couple of hours now.
  7. I had to remind myself of that as well when I was doing my shoveling. I had to put down two bags of ice melt as well as the predicted warmer temperatures for the overnight period never came to be. We had plenty of rain though but the ice held up just fine. And to think that a lot of people lamented getting no snow or very little last night. Oh well. It looks like those who did not see snow of any significance last night will get their chance as we go through the week.
  8. SE Light at Block Island gusted to 72 mph at 5:49 am. Another nearby station on Block Island gusted to 71 mph at about the same time. The stations that I follow on Fire Island gusted to between 40-45 mph overnight.
  9. Still snowing here in Bethlehem Twp in Northampton Cty. 3 1/2” new. 24/23
  10. It is my understanding that there is ice covering at least parts of Great South Bay. If that is true that might help you folks out on the island to hold on to the cold air for a little longer.
  11. I have moderate snow down here in Bethlehem Twp, PA with almost 1” new. Models have been dropping hints for days regarding the dynamics associated with this system. I would definitely agree that there is positive bust potential in the I80 corridor in NW NJ and NE PA. This is shaping up to be a very interesting night out here and places further north.
  12. The Coastal Front is set up from the Richmond area to near Dover, DE to about 10 miles NW of Atlantic City and then up along and west of the Garden State Pkwy along the Jersey shore and just south of the south shore of LI. This is the leading edge of the warm air at the surface that the powerful 850mb jet is going to force up to the north and west and change everyone over to rain (if you don’t start as rain). In the case of the Poconos and the I84 corridor this would be sleet and freezing rain. This is situated as projected by the models at this time.
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