Tatamy
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Everything posted by Tatamy
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As the first wave of precip comes through the area pay attention to the dew points. Mine went from 18 to 31 as that band of light precip came through.
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I have a mix of light rain and snow falling here. 40/23.
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Good luck!
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I think the place to be for this event will in NY north of the Cuomo bridge and into CT. I am looking at the 18z NAM and I think the amounts shown on the snowfall depth chart would be the ones to go with. Anyone who is looking at 10:1 clown maps for snow fall amounts is going to be disappointed. I just looked at a bunch of traffic cams out in western PA and every where I looked precip was not reaching the ground or was light rain (including elevated locations). Wet bulbing will promote the changeover north of the city but elsewhere it will be mainly white rain (or a mix) and struggle to accumulate.
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In NE PA you have to be roughly north and east of a line from Marshall’s Creek to Mt. Pocono to Wilkes Barre to be seeing steady light snow. Places to the south and west of there are just mainly cloudy with some flurries in the air. This lines up fairly well with the earlier projections from the models.
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The worms all over my driveway this morning did it for me. I strongly agree with your sentiment.
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06z GFS has me down for nearly 30” over its run. I have earthworms all over my driveway this morning (In February?!). I’m inclined to sell the GFS and take the worms on this one.
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I came across this discussion of the Synoptics relating to the Blizzard of 96. It provides a nice overview of the storm and contrasts it to other storms with similar impacts across the area. https://youtu.be/LdFl9ON-tY4
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18z GFS does happy hour again.
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Crazy day weather wise in the Mid-Atlantic yesterday. I was on the east side of Baltimore yesterday afternoon and encountered a severe thunderstorm. Crazy CTG lightning with it. Later on when I was up near Reading, PA I encountered the precursor to the storm that later dropped the tornado in NJ. Experienced heavy rain with wet snow flakes mixed in with it.
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Mine: 1978 30 inches 2016 30 inches 2021 25 inches 1983 18 inches
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There are gale warnings posted for the near shore waters with storm warnings for the offshore waters. Winds at stations that I follow on WU (including my own) are gusting from 40 - 60 mph along Fire Island currently. I believe that the gale warnings cover this.
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Light rain/snow mix has turned over to light snow. 32*
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I can’t speak for that area so I don’t know if that is true. Apparently some channelized vorticity combined with a weakening lake effect streamer managed to make it this far east. Mount Holly had us at a 20% chance last night.
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Did anyone else partake in last night’s car topper event? I just looked outside and I have a thin coating of snow on most surfaces.
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Snow has ended here as some drizzle. 1 1/2” new.
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Steady snow. 3/4 mile visibility. 31 degrees. 3/4” new.
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Snowing steadily out here. Accumulating on grassy surfaces.
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Rain has changed to snow in my area and it’s coming down heavily in some areas.
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35* with drizzle.
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Very interesting evolution on the 18z GFS.
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This is so true!
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Where did you spend those winters?
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Very strongly agree.
