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Tatamy

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Everything posted by Tatamy

  1. Tatamy
    Rain total up to 0.50”
  2. Tatamy
    0z NAM is not good news for coastal areas.
  3. Tatamy
    SLP is projected to occlude by the models as it reaches our latitude. This is why the strongest winds are projected to remain off shore.
  4. Tatamy
    I am seeing that as well.
  5. Tatamy
    Seas peaked well offshore in the mid 40’s with the passage of Sandy. I checked a number of the offshore buoys situated to the north and northeast of Cape Hatteras earlier and most of them were not reporting off shore wind data. These are the buoys situated off of the mid Atlantic coast. This is concerning.
  6. Tatamy
    My daughter is in Charleston now. Streets are currently under water as far as she can see in the downtown area.
  7. Tatamy
    How about the prospect of flight delays at the NY area airports on Monday?
  8. Tatamy
    All done here with a storm total of 1.90”. We did get a period of light snow which did not stick.
  9. Tatamy
    Total here up to .94”. Wind has been a non issue here today. Temp down to 53 with the cold frontal passage. Looking for some white rain in the morning.
  10. Tatamy
    National Severe Storms Laboratory Weather Research and Forecast Model. You can google additional information about it including forecast parameters used.
  11. Tatamy
    Over time I believe it will become increasingly difficult to see snowfalls of 1” or more in NYC. This won’t be solely caused by global warming either. I used to work in Manhattan back in the first decade. I worked in midtown near 34th and 9th Avenue. In a borderline event with wet snow I would routinely walk from 9th to 8th Avenues and the snow would turn to rain due to the urban heat island effect. You could walk down some streets and see snow falling at the rooftops and rain at street level. Now that West Side Yards has been built I am sure that is no longer possible. That brings me to my point. There are currently plans for what are known as “Supertalls” all over Manhattan and the other nearby boroughs. Investors are buying up properties and tearing down what is there in order to construct these enormous buildings. NYC is well on its way to having into the hundreds of these 800’ to 1000’ buildings throughout the city. I think by 25-50 years or so there will only be snow in Manhattan with the most intense/cold storms. I believe that this man made mountain range will have other effects in the region that have yet to be seen or determined.
  12. Tatamy
    Two days in a row with light snow in the morning. Yesterday we had a coating which was gone by lunchtime. Today a slightly heavier coating so far. The heaviest amounts I have seen up in the Poconos (about 2000’) look to be about an inch. Reminds me of some of the garbage events from last year.
  13. Tatamy
    In my time on these boards I have found you to be one of the most knowledgeable and objective posters that I know. You provide very insightful analysis and substantiation to back it up. I find that I have learned a great deal from the posts that you provide. Thank you for your contributions.
  14. Tatamy
    Steady light snow at 34 degrees. Visibility 1 mile with this channelized vorticity activity dropping south from the lakes. This has been well modeled for a few days now. Not really sticking.
  15. Tatamy
    A few light mood flakes in the air here too.
  16. Tatamy
    Interesting evolution being depicted on the 0z runs for the cold front coming through the northeast late this weekend.
  17. Tatamy
    Winds on LI gusted to 60-70 mph for much of the day as that storm passed by well to our west. It was an amazing wind event.
  18. Tatamy
    I received 10” from that storm in western Suffolk County. After a period of heavy snow the storm transitioned to a period of a very nasty wind blown heavy sleet and freezing rain. You had to be in eastern PA in order to get into the heavy snows.
  19. Tatamy
    He has 218,000 subscribers. YouTube is paying him well.
  20. Tatamy
    It was a nice pattern while it lasted.
  21. Tatamy
    77-78, which was also an El Niño winter featured a December that was mostly a torch here. It was the type of pattern that would have brought tears to our warm weather fans. There was one storm that brought snow and ice to central and northern NE and rain here on Christmas. The pattern did not flip until the first week of January. That is a prototypical El Niño for you. Regarding charts being shown for the projected pattern later in the month, a lot of them are showing a flow from off of the Pacific. You can trace the height lines from here back to that source region on these charts. That unfortunately is not going to get the cold air here that we are looking for. The height lines leading to this region have to be traced back to NE Alaska or the Yukon. I will provide a hint - look for forecasts of much above normal temperatures in Alaska. Without this I wouldn’t get too excited about cold weather here.
  22. Tatamy
    I have been on vacation up there a few times and the whole region along Lake Ontario is really nice country. It actually reminds me of the north shore of Long Island in some ways but is more rural. There are a ton of wineries up there. Real estate values correspond to expected annual snowfall totals by community and region. The area going east from Rochester towards Oswego has progressively higher snowfall totals relating to the mean flow off of the lake. The area to the west of Rochester has less lake effect snow. The area to the south of Buffalo (Southtowns) which is affected by the Lake Erie snow belts gets much more snow and real estate values are priced accordingly. Very interesting climatology up there.
  23. Tatamy
    TV media reports of flurries and snow showers in many parts of the Philly area earlier yesterday morning.
  24. Tatamy
    Are you on X (formerly known as Twitter)?
  25. Tatamy
    Healthy looking squall line moving eastward across central PA. If this holds together it will be approaching the city during the early morning hours.
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