Tatamy
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Everything posted by Tatamy
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I am watching this snow coming north through central NJ and it really comes in like a wall. You go from flurries to decent rates quite quickly. -
The leading edge of the light snow runs from just south of Reading over to the Trenton area. This lines up well with the heavier echos seen on radar.
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Steady light snow falling throughout the Philly area and the suburbs. There is steady light snow falling as far north as the Trenton area.
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Strongly agree. Best snows that I have seen are in the western Philly suburbs. They have a coating on the ground near West Chester.
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I have been seeing flurries for a couple of hours already and this relates directly to what you stated above.
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Great ??? The models that I have been following have been gradually increasing totals through the day. They actually seem to be in fairly good agreement. The increase in expected totals from Mt. Holly speaks for itself.
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I have a few light flurries here as well.
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Light snow and flurries in the Philadelphia area now as well.
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Light snow and flurries getting underway currently to the SW of Harrisburg. You have to go down to the MD in order to find a coating to a half inch on the ground.
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My rule of thumb from when I lived on LI (north shore) was for nothing higher than 065. If you stayed on the lower side of that you were usually okay if the mid levels were good.
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The RGEM and even the ICON have had virtual ownership of this event for days. The performance of the GFS as relates to the event has been subpar at best.
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Dew points out here have been in the single digits since the middle of yesterday evening. This very cold and very dry airmass will be an important player in precip start times, qpf, and ratios especially north and west of the city.
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06z EPS mean is 2”+ across the area with highest amounts east.
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Real cold air is still north and west of a line that runs from roughly Harrisburg to Scranton to Albany. Temperatures in western PA are down into the low and mid teens. 38/15 here currently.
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It’s really hit or miss with today’s activity.
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There are snow squall warnings in my area of eastern PA. From what I can see most of what is on radar is actually snow flurries or showers. In any case the area to be cautious in the short term would be I78 in western NJ. Just a few flurries here currently.
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Different world here. The cold front came through around 10:30 AM and it has been in the low 40s since.
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I think the Governor was behind this and given the expected conditions it is probably the correct decision. It’s always interesting to watch these games played in these conditions however when you have tens of thousands of people going out on the roads to get there this is probably the better call.
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If you are north and west of the city tomorrow you will definitely need to look out for some nasty snow squalls. This will be particularly true in the Poconos over to the Catskills.
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The big question will be is does it keep the storm. Like always we will follow the other models to see what they do with it. FWIW the 12z ensembles do have it.
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Do you have floodlights outside your house? If not consider getting them for this purpose.
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Ukie has been very consistent with this event. Over time the totals have come down some however the axis of expected accumulation has remained basically the same. It may or may not bust ultimately however I have to like that consistency.
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06z RGEM/NAM/ICON all have the storm for Tuesday. The NAM is over amped but the RGEM / ICON are definitely interesting.
