Tatamy

You are forgetting the 06z NAM run from yesterday morning.

Storm total 3.2” here in Bethlehem Twp., PA

Storm is done here. Total is 3.2”

Good move on their part.

Moderate snow currently with a storm total of 2.3”. 30F

This system is really starting to crank. We have moderate snow currently with 2.3”. 30F

Up to 2” new here in Bethlehem Twp. Steady light snow continues. 30F

Apparently the event over performed and a lot of the locals were taken by surprise. I am told that local internet based forecasts were only calling for an inch or so.

The Boston snow drought looks like it’s coming to an end tonight. My daughter who lives in the Back Bay already has between 3-4”. Big bust to the high side underway there.

It appears that the Boston snow drought is coming to an end. My daughter who lives in Allston in the Back Bay already has between 3-4” and sent me this picture. Big bust to the high side underway there. Radar is crazy with the way the heavier echos are training (literally funneling) right into Boston currently.

I am seeing that also.

This is a radar view of what I was referring to. It is right near the Delaware River. Your shot also shows it.

The coastal has exited stage right if you will. It was never expected to be a big player in providing snow to this area. The trough and IVT are the features that going forward will provide the snow with this event.

Take a look at high resolution radar. I use the site weather.cod.edu. If you look closely at the elements you can plainly see echos coming west from the Jersey Shore while other echos come east from central PA. They are meeting along the Delaware River. This is where the IVT is currently set up. Where these echoes meet the accompanying moisture is lifted higher into the atmosphere and then precipitates back down mainly in the form of snow in this instance. This matches where the models are calling for the higher snow accumulations. Later tonight as the trough moves in the feature will weaken and push out to the east.

“Heaviest” snows will be north and west of NYC. The coastal was expected to move out quickly from our area this afternoon making room for the trough and IVT to approach from the west.

Steady light snow with a coating on most surfaces. 31/29

Snowing very hard now in the Harrisburg area as the IVT begins to set up.

New 12z HREF with 1-2” for most and 2-4” for elevated locations N&W. Only exceptions would be the Jersey Shore and the South Shore and East End of LI

Steady light snow with a light coating on some colder surfaces. 31/29

The precip along the Jersey coast is rain. Temps there are in the upper 30s and low 40s. Temps out on LI are in the mid to upper 30s. Anecdotally the R/S line looks to be roughly along I95

Currently heavily overcast where I am. 31/25. There are a few lonely snow flakes around as well.

We don’t live in Massachusetts. (Unless you’re visiting from the New England board.). Just because there are echoes on radar doesn’t mean it’s snow. You are correct about the precip from the coastal being west however the precip field from that feature will move out to the east this afternoon. If anything accumulates that would most likely be this evening and tonight.

The precip coming up from off the Delmarva coast and right along would be in the form of rain. There are no current reports of precip reaching the ground there. Temps there are in the mid 40s. Temps along the NJ coast and LI are in the mid 30s and that would support mainly rain during the daytime hours with snow possibly mixing in during any heavier bursts on LI. In any case no snow accumulations are expected during the daytime hours except for higher elevations well north and west. This is the theme of what the NWS is going with for the area. The best chance for snow accumulations for most of us is dependent on additional energy coming in tonight with the trough. We still have the possibility of the formation of the IVT as well for tonight.

FWIW whatever snow that falls during the day tomorrow before 4pm will be melting on contact unless you have at least 500-700’ in elevation or are in a place that gets good rates.

I remember that the HRRR had it but was not sure of the others. Thanks.