Tatamy
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About Tatamy
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.95 overnight
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The Thanksgiving Snowstorm in ‘89 was preceded by a powerful cold front on the Tuesday prior. This front was accompanied by widespread violent severe thunderstorms across Long Island and other parts of the region with many reports of damaging wind gusts of 40-60 mph.
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Walt - please start the thread. This storm could be quite impactful.
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It’s an outlier solution.
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0z GFS is all in with the potential for significant snows across NW NJ and NE PA.
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This one was always going to be about elevation. It’s been great to have something this interesting to track on the models.
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If you want something to peruse check out today’s 12z ensemble runs (entire run) - particularly for north and west areas. I am not talking about today’s CFS runs as they are at a whole different level.
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We need Arctic stream involvement. These Polar jet driven systems won’t get it done.
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You’re going to need elevation for this one.
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27 with a hard freeze.
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Event total here of 0.26”
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It’s actually raining here and I am measuring. 0.05” on the day.
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Still have not measured. Yawn
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If you look at the genesis of this system it actually forms in the Caribbean. It has likely had tropical features initially and probably picks up a name along the way. GFS really got creative with this one. FWIW the CFS has popped a few runs with snows in the east however accumulating snow only happens well inland.
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So the Euro starts running out to 360 hours on Tuesday twice a day. I guess that means twice as many fantasy storms. This should be fun.
