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TheManWithNoFace

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Everything posted by TheManWithNoFace

  1. TheManWithNoFace
    Much obliged blue
  2. TheManWithNoFace
    @bluewave can you help me out? Please and thank you.
  3. TheManWithNoFace
    Hey everyone I need some help. Many months ago someone posted a chart of annual mean dewpoints at a local observation station over the last several years, if I recall correctly. I need to find that or something similar. Can anyone help?
  4. TheManWithNoFace
    For those defending the public messaging including phone alerts, when did the alarm bells from mets start going off? As it was unfolding? All morning we saw stratiform rain in eastern PA and northern NJ. As soon as the stream of precipitation moved into CNJ and I started seeing widespread embedded cells moving 45° NW to the NE mean flow I knew we were in for it. But I didn't think why transpired was in the realm of likely possibility and I'm fairly plugged in here. People knew Irene and Sandy were coming for days in advance. Dan Zarrow is trying to dance out of it by emphasizing that he was "3 to 6 PLUS" in his forecasting (emphasis on "plus") but come on that doesn't really represent what happened. Phone alerts for flash flooding are all good as it's unfolding but the messaging was inadequate leading up.
  5. TheManWithNoFace
    Is a stronger storm a more compact storm? Does this brief strengthening cut into rain totals across central/southern NJ tonight?
  6. TheManWithNoFace
    Looks like H5 closer or will close off over PA.
  7. TheManWithNoFace
    The 12z euro is 2-5" across the inner and outer coastal plains of NJ tonight if you didn't check.
  8. TheManWithNoFace
    Walt from where do you get the top map?
  9. TheManWithNoFace
    Crops are going to get frosted/frozen in the northern mid atlantic next week. Not good.
  10. TheManWithNoFace
    GFS nailed this storm.
  11. TheManWithNoFace
    Would love someone to teach me why the entire moisture plume up the east coast looks like its coming from a "forest fire" in the Gulf. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=09&length=12
  12. TheManWithNoFace
    Lol, so casual. "outperforming everyone by several inches, nbd." I have 1.1 in Flemington. Next band crossing the Delaware should deliver the goods. Come to dada
  13. TheManWithNoFace
    Just saw the 6z NAM had none of this in central NJ through 8am. F6 megabust
  14. TheManWithNoFace
    Pingers on moving already on a line straight daddy from Philly. H8 warm tongue gonna getcha
  15. TheManWithNoFace
    Radar looks good in PA. Should be arriving in NJ a little early.
  16. TheManWithNoFace
    It's too bad WPC ended that model diagnostic discussion product.
  17. TheManWithNoFace
    They were bailed out by ratios.
  18. TheManWithNoFace
    awww yissssss. Uh, 31 in Flemington rn
  19. TheManWithNoFace
    H5 last 8 runs of the nam for 1pm Thursday. Lot's of moving parts in here. Key features are the departing TPV over southern New England, sticking around long enough in later runs to suppress the height field ahead of the approaching shortwave. Then there's the question of whether we get one consolidated vortmax in the trough or if it breaks into two pieces, bringing the longer duration/colder/flatter scenario. Also worth watching is the energy over the northern Plains and how it wants to interact in trough. SE ridge modelling looks stable here. Snow to sleet to rain for most of NJ, but could easily trend back to the warmer solutions of a couple days ago or a more compressed height field and a harder thump. Lots of moving parts. H5
  20. TheManWithNoFace
    Could you tell me where you find this product?
  21. TheManWithNoFace
    Who is this dope
  22. TheManWithNoFace
    Very strange. For a couple hours it was sleeting in Flemington, Nj while snowing in Philly.
  23. TheManWithNoFace
    Flflemington130pm straight sleet homey
  24. TheManWithNoFace
    Waddup neighbor! I think that makes.at least 5 of us in.Hunterdon and Somerset.
  25. TheManWithNoFace
    Wow the Hunterdon/Somerset corridor is well represented here. 5" in Flemington.
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