powderfreak

Comfy 77 here Down to 70F up here. This morning’s low of 72F is wiped out and likely will be further by midnight.

But “dry” doesn’t really have anything to do with temps does it? BTV is on the same train... temps rising again mid/upper 80s next weekend but drier with comfy RH: “Progged 925mb temps warm back into the 22-24c range by next weekend, supporting highs back into the mid/upper 80s, but with relatively comfortable rh values. Overnight lows mainly in the l/m 50s mtn valleys to l/m 60s.”

Hard to argue with that MADIS shift at BOS. It just woke up one week and decided to start verifying 2F too warm.

lol. You should try to find a site’s 1-min obs...they’ll be all over the place. I used to look at them at Stowe on the Snowmaking system and in a span of like 10 minutes the temp would be all over. Could be 67F then drop to 63F then back up to 66F, then 64F then back to 67F... and averaged it all just shows up as obs of 65F and 65F.

I could see that. A decade ago you’d look at the PWS maps and they’d be littered with torching thermometers. A sunny day of 90F at ASOS sites would show a smattering of 95-98F PWS scattered around. Those maps are much more consistent now...more uniform with less of those obviously torched home stations.

ORH has a couple days last week they were like a healthy 10-12F lower than BDL for highs. I brought it up because it’s like twice the dry lapse rate. DIT in his heavily forested yard makes more sense with the canopy.

And it always seems because we think they run warm. Seems much rarer to get one questioned on the cool side.

How would you not be convinced if Innedsnow also hit 100F and BAF is 98F and possibly still rising? I really don’t see any reason why 100F couldn’t have been hit. Temps bounce around all day long, but smoothed our follow a diurnal curve usually. But it might have just been warm enough to get 100F for a 5-min average... while BAF hit 100F but the 5-min average wasn’t enough to get that registered.

12-1pm. Whats your new elevation? You have to be 90F or higher right?

78F up here at 1pm... SNE will be 20-degrees warmer than us this afternoon. FROPA is through, wind is now NNW after a brief shower. Early high of 83F at 11am...now falling into 70s.

I’m assuming Brian is calculating it from degrees Celsius in the METARS? I was curious too how you get a 98 or 99 but that’s all I can think of, going off the C readings.

Starting tomorrow through Thursday the highest temp forecast by NWS is 75F. That’ll feel refreshing. Highs mid-week may struggle to get to last night’s low of 72F. Tuesday....Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Light and variable winds. Tuesday Night...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Wednesday...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Wednesday Night...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.

Back to back 90s at ORH would be pretty impressive, not sure it gets there.

Yeah I get ya though as unfortunately OKX has had some interesting winter storm snowfall forecast busts in recent years.

I bet they miss a forecast high by 3-5F once a week in either direction.... just nobody cares if it’s forecast 82F and it ends up being 78F due to some clouds. I mean increased morning cloudiness is more than enough to do that. Maybe I’m being too easy on the forecasters but I just don’t see the “head scratcher” when everyone was talking about why it missed yesterday (mid/high level cloudiness).

Ok ha that’s completely different, I agree there.

True I guess... I just feel like model forecasts aiming for the tails of the whisker plots (extremes) are much more prone to that type of outcome. Sort of like Tip and Dendrite, I guess I was skeptical of a bunch of hundos all over. I figured 95-99F with high dews is how that modeled outcome usually works out. But same in winter, I feel skeptical of those ridiculously cold max temps the models like to show from time to time. At least up this way it was spot on... 89-92F with lows near 70F for two days.

Yeah I’m not sure I get the bust calls. I mean I guess it’s like thinking you have a shot at a sub-zero high temp in winter and it ends up a high of +4F instead... but winds were higher and it’s still fukkin brutally cold out there. Its not 100F but 96/76 is about as hot and humid as it gets for New England.

Same temp there... 89F at both unless you are thinking MVL.

ORH is an oasis of cool down there. Surrounded by heat.

81F at 4am at BTV with a southerly funneling breeze. Thats a Key West night.

What a torch zone the Champlain Valley is... low to mid 80s still. Once into the hills east of the Spine, it cools off pretty decently... low 70s here along the valley waterways in the interior.

Those are some solid heat obs at BOS... dews in mid-70s with temps in mid-90s, for 8 hours straight. That's no touch and run, it's sustained. 97F was the high between hours.

Otter Creek's Berner IPA (7.0%) here... nothing special but on these hot evenings it has a crisp finish with some lighter, almost fruity flavors. A summer beer. Of course, some shots of Jack could do it.

It's really hot and humid. No way around it. As much as it's oppressive relative to what we are used to, most folks today (even employees) found it more fascinating than anything. Definitely high-end stuff for an uncomfortable period. I do think it was worse last year up here. Early July 2018, MVL had 4 out of 5 days registering a high of 92F (today's high was 91F), which is incredible to get 4 days up this way in the low-90s in one stretch...lows of 68 and 72 at a radiating site in there too, which means dews were high (last night low was 69F for comparison).