powderfreak

That is a crazy sequence of events in the final week to Christmas. Is it better to have loved and lost, than not have at all? This was 2015 Stowe/Mansfield on Christmas Day. Only Xmas Day since 1954 with no snow on the ground at the Co-Op stake. This November reached a higher snow depth than was seen at any point during that 2015-16 winter.

Doesn’t he post pics of a Christmas tree farm? Someone on here does. Or they just like rows of 3-7 foot tall trees in their yard.

Yeah we can take the 36 hour thaws but need to avoid a 72-hr bloodbath with 1”+ rain.

Hard to hate the start so far too. Even low elevation woods are ok… we’ll see in a couple days though, haha.

Should help preserve the snowpack a bit more?

You looking for Bob’s old juice, huh. 30F

End of day finally tried to clear up a bit right as the sun was going down.

Yeah we just have a crusty couple inches in the yard and the fields are melted out. Highly elevation dependent start to winter. Only saw 3” total 24 hrs at all plots at Mansfield, like you said. But looks like adding another inch at Lookout since the flip this morning. Academic but guess it’s now 4” up there in 36 hours.

Late afternoon, wintry vibe, getting dark fast. Crowds have left, being a Sunday in November. Folks have work and school on Monday. Key football games going on. Its been an odd mix of November feel, but midwinter vibes to start the season up north.

Your writing and prose is topnotch. Always very well explained. Writing like that, with such great storytelling, is a massive skill in itself, even aside from the meteorological portion.

Even from NNE, that was good to click through and see. Graphics are great and that must've taken a ton of work to make happen. Kudos.

Just a half inch today on colder surfaces at home. Roads wet. Got up to 34F as the warm front moved through. 2" at 3,000ft though.

Surprisingly decent snow this morning with the clipper warm front. ASOS down to 1 mile steady -SN. METAR KMVL 231545Z AUTO 00000KT 1SM -SN BR BKN020 OVC036 M01/M03 A2991

One of the best opening days in history. 85% of terrain off the FourRunner Quad open and fair game. Absolutely insane coverage too. All of this in the photos on natural snow. 59 trails, 258 acres. 50% of Stowe’s skiable terrain. And that’s only with 50” falling… can’t imagine what 93” would do

I read it as the November lowest temperature has ranged from 17F (in two years) to -4F as the coldest.

Chilly night. 20F so far. I didn’t realize SLK made it 2F last night, ha. Already 12F there at 9:30pm.

It all ebbs and flows... you get into ruts, or into great runs... up this way, we couldn't open until December last season. This season it is record breaking snow in mid-November. More snow on the ground now than there was during the entire 2015-2016 season in the mountains. The natural variation in weather patterns is pretty crazy year-to-year... and especially over decadal periods.

The wolf in CT?

HRRR has been one of the best up here lately with the upslope storms lol. 3km NAM is like 200% too wet. Global models don’t see the terrain that well. HRRR was really good with precip amounts.

Honestly the NWS composite radar might be the best bet. The radar up north is rough with the mountains blocking the low level beam. I need to use like the 2.5 degree tilt for here (level 4 on radar scope) as that’s the first scan that clears the mountains… but then it’s hitting precip like 5,000ft over my head. For folks further away east like Mreaves it’s hitting precip way up and often the beam is overshooting cold season low level precip pretty fast. Often in low level upslope the radar isn’t seeing the Jay area well as the beam is too high by the time the higher angle scans get there. Although this radar image is a bit meh for graphics, it’s actually one of the better coverages you’ll find up here. https://radar.weather.gov/station/KCXX/standard

Yeah its becoming a thing now on the internet and social media. Throwing out 16-24" like candy is essentially saying it snowed 1"/hr for 24 hours straight and while it does happen sometimes, there should be people drowning in snow at those amounts. I mean 40" in 48 hours... I've measured that once here and if you get an honest 40" in 48 hours it is on a level that few can comprehend. It is almost paralyzing. It is not something that just gets tossed out there as a guess. Like cars should be completely gone in the parking lot at a 30-40" storm. And you are right, it is definitely the numbers that get people. Everyone knows it's the most snow, but the number of people who I see posting online that have hit some variety of Bolton Valley, Stowe, Smuggs, and Jay this November... most are saying the amounts seem pretty similar. I'd give Jay about 30% more just based on upslope climo as it moves north. Just like the BV to Smuggs stretch usually sees about 30% more than Sugarbush/MRG. Honestly I wouldn't be surprised if Bolton was sporting some of the most either given their location and high base elevation like Jay's.

Past event map:

It was, becoming much less by the number of places actually measuring snow.

Jay reported another 16-24" in the past 24 hours and 40" in 48 hours. It just keeps getting wilder. Mansfield measured 16" in the past 48 hours and all-time snow depths.

Expect snowy conditions, ha. Probably a couple feet on the ground up high there.