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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. powderfreak
    Lake Tahoe hasn’t seen a big storm in a while… signs that the pattern is shuffling after a month+ of consistency.
  2. powderfreak
    1-3” for you at 1,000ft. Could see a sharp gradient from hilltop to like 300ft too. Like half inch slush at bottom vs 2.2” paste up at your spot. But man those thermals are tight. I’d toss 10:1 maps far and wide in this… what do the positive snow depth maps look like?
  3. powderfreak
    Those are some borderline thermals.
  4. powderfreak
    That stripe of like 0.75”+ QPF always seemed wild for the set up. The lower QPF seems to make sense. But part of me was looking forward to seeing what that looked like on radar.
  5. powderfreak
    38 ORH 48 HFD Big difference. Love the mesoscale variations.
  6. powderfreak
    The snowpack has stayed fresh, in all areas, for weeks on end. The lack of rain has been noteworthy, even up here.
  7. powderfreak
    It’s 34F and feels like t-shirt weather. -7.5 on the month for departure during climo minimum… above freezing now feels like a torch.
  8. powderfreak
    Next owner… “Titan Sports Financial Group - Win or Lose, We Turn The Profit Double Play. Our athletes may strikeout, but our investors never do.”
  9. powderfreak
    11F this evening. These warm above zero evenings are a prelude to coming out of the annual minimum. The gradient has been further south for weeks on end... have to like the Pike region to CNE in this event mid-week. Narrow area of snows, but interesting to see where it ends up. -7.5 departure for the first half of February, the coldest time of year.
  10. powderfreak
    Not visually at least during the warm season… but I don’t think we get them. It seems to be a phenomena that occurs in a strong low level flow with a big thermal difference in the lowest 5,000ft. 30F in the valley, 10F up top. Some destabilizing sunshine. They seem rare when it’s completely thick clouds. I think that’s what I think of when I see them… it’s a well-mixed atmosphere.
  11. powderfreak
    I just realized that the first half of February has seen the following temperature departures locally… BTV -7.6 MVL -7.5 MPV -7.0 Only one day has been above average so far. This will change going forward, but that’s a well-below normal stretch during coldest climo minimums.
  12. powderfreak
    They seem to start during differential heating or steep lapse rates during CAA. We seem to get them during times of broken clouds/partly sunny conditions after a snow, with a strong 850 mb flow amid steep low level lapse rates.
  13. powderfreak
    Had one day this winter with multiple large ones at Stowe. Biggest I can ever remember. Wish I could post the video, but too big size. Here’s a screen grab… much easier to see the definition in the video but that’s like a 1,000ft tall vortex.
  14. powderfreak
    3F… we’ve had 27 days go below zero this winter, making a late run at it this morning. 12 days hit below zero this month so far.
  15. powderfreak
    Saw -10F on the car with like rimed trees at home and then glorious and warm at 1500ft.
  16. powderfreak
    Absolutely shacked today. As someone at the base of the Quad said… “A Stowe 4 [inches] fell last night” because that was the reported snowfall. It was the amount that was measured at the location chosen to do that. Sometimes aspects, exposure to wind, and snow movement lead to varying areas of deep across a given resort of 500+ acres and 2-3 miles of length.
  17. powderfreak
    Ended up with 8.3” at home from this last event on 0.60” water.
  18. powderfreak
    If the Panda was a Wolf…
  19. powderfreak
    Snow depth at 1500ft is up to 45” again for the second time this season. Keeps snowing.
  20. powderfreak
    We’ve dropped off… it’s been hovering in the 10-15th range since 1954 the past week or so. We were still top-5 after the big storm, but wind packing and Arctic cold dropped depths a bit right when other years pumped up. Good snowfall this afternoon on the upslope flow. Been around 1”/hr past 2-3 hours.
  21. powderfreak
    Got 5.25” overnight and it’s been hammering upslope snow lately. Mountain visibility is under 1/4sm in heavy snow. Flake size much bigger than last night’s 10:1 synoptic dump. Even down in the valley is solid 1/2sm moderate snow. Upslope flow is parked for now. KMVL 111954Z AUTO 35007KT 1/2SM SN VV009 M04/M07
  22. powderfreak
    I wouldn't go outside. Latest Dept of Fish & Game geotracking map has gray wolf collar #45B on the move towards Salem, CT.
  23. powderfreak
    27/-1… that’s some dry surface air initially.
  24. powderfreak
    Interesting BTV tidbit if Wednesday doesn’t go above freezing… then you start to get into a solid streak. In Burlington, the last day with a temperature breaking 32 degrees was January 22nd; sub-freezing temperature streaks surpassing 21 days are fairly unusual in the Burlington area, last happening January- February 2015 and only occurring 20 times going back across the last 141 winter seasons.
  25. powderfreak
    Yeah, I like these events that go SW flow ahead of them and then NW flow behind them.... Usually works out decently for the mountains, especially if the low level flow is SSE to begin. I could see a widespread 3-6" from the Adirondacks across BTV and into VT... or maybe 2-5" instead for the lower elevations under 1,500ft and 4-7" above that? Agree with BTV that the GFS is overdoing it and likely the NAM too. More like 0.20 to locally 0.5" in the mtns for QPF instead of that big area of 0.33-0.75"?
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