powderfreak

A difference of a half an inch over 3-4 miles is well within the range of possibilities. Your shop got like 5.7” and home got 6.1” or something. Talking like a couple hundredths of an inch of QPF difference there.

-SN and a fluffy refresh fringe job at 1.25 - 2.5 mile vis.

Its true. Just a wave of moisture (and temps) moving in on SW flow… the S/SE/E/NW/N/NW turn around the wind dial does lead to a wave coming in and a wave going out in those events.

I think of this as more of a coastal “storm” more than a SWFE. The low is taking a coastal track. Mid-levels aren’t warming.

Southern Middlesex looks like a fine place to be.

A community known as Alpine Village at 1,500 feet on the western slope of the Jay Peak area is one of the snowiest inhabited places in Vermont and the northeast… in my opinion.

Good hit through SNE.

The headlines have decent bust potential. Places with no headlines out-performing warned zones in some cases? I could see NW rely on a fronto band, while SE gets smoked as the low gets going.

A large geography of people are going to see snow falling with this system. 1-6” over a large geographic area… maybe spot 6-8” in the best collocated areas of mid-level lift and snow growth.

Agreed. If the dynamics aren’t there, it looks questionable, some of the QPF amounts seem to be in that 48-72 hour high.

Seems bold.

See I think everyone would be terrified in that situation today, despite the front they are putting up. Euro is the best model but it’s had its head-scratching moments enough to give one pause. The other models have caught up to the skill of the Euro. I would still expect a solid compromise in range of solutions. Feels like with the decent cold this month, and the deepest shot yet pressing down, that the Messenger shifts SE are coming in the amped models. The Euro is also going to beef up a bit. We’ve seen this playbook before.

Gimme some ARW SREF progs that crush and we are going old school east coast storm vibes for the forum.

Not bad.

Honestly the connection between Stowe and Smuggs would’ve been cake compared to Slide Brook. You could walk it in like 10-15 minutes. I can ride to the top of Spruce and walk to Smuggs in no time. Slide Brook is like an isolated valley between the terminals.

From an operational standpoint, I'd want no part of that lift either. I bet they wish it wasn't even there to be honest. A shuttle bus breaks down, another one picks up the riders. That thing breaks down, you're talking a 6-8 hour evac process. With no other infrastructure around. Even something as simple as a mechanical stop from a broken tower circuit, like a CPS (cable positioning system) fault... something most lifts have happen with some frequency... looks like it would be an ordeal. Any other place it happens, a lift mechanic just snowmobiles to the tower, visibly looks up to see the cable is still where its supposed to be, and then radios clear and the lift starts up. Happens fairly regularly to be honest... might be a 5 minute stop for most lifts. On Slide Brook that lift mechanic is on a journey to get to some of those towers to do something as simple as visually clear a routine fault. Nahh, I'm all set with that from an operations standpoint.

Doesn’t mean it’s still not cold lol.

This looks fun.

What 16" in 48 hours at High Road looks like. The median measurement. Some areas definitely higher than that, especially above it in the 3-4K foot zone. What a couple of days.

I hate to do it. I really do. But it's reality up here in the northern mountains. The upslope flow has just loaded the northern Greens. Stowe's official High Road plot with 16" in 48 hours. And 145" on the season. Could be on pace for a 300" season at 3,000ft+. This photo was on in-bounds ski terrain that is 500 feet above the official snow site, as the 3-4K ft elevations are all above the reported resort numbers.

So. F'ing. Deep. Added another 1-2" today and still snowing lightly.

I thought I saw Slidebrook wasn't going to run this season. If Castlerock isn't open this weekend for MLK with all the recent snowfall, then it's probably not opening this season would be my guess.

Ha. Looks like they had some wind issues at their plot. Makes the Lookout Snow cam look deep up here. I can appreciate the effort!

Nailed it here. A bit over 5” on Mansfield at the plot. 14” past 48 hours, measured at exactly 3,000ft (well, 3,014ft).

One of those subtle things that could be completely wrong, but going into it with dews 10F higher at this time last night and more robust Great Lakes moisture entrained (it was more like a 270 degree flow). I like 3-5” for tonight for the mountains as opposed to like 6-12” like last night. More like 1/2” per hour instead of 1”/hr.