powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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To be fair, convective events are tough. Even when occurring, basin averages can be much less than the spot/point samples of a singular location. Depends on how big a basin though, ha. HRRR from 18z seemed to sense something was going to happen. Actual results vary, but it knew some localized water was coming.
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There are several spots that look like could be mesolows on radar… just east of Sterling too now. Like curling echoes like they are wrapping around something.
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If you just said, “I don’t care what guidance has, it’ll be in the 60s on Saturday” no one responds. But you tend to say stuff like the ULL is way north (I had no idea if that was true or not), thats easily found as false with about 32 seconds and a phone internet browser… expect to be oinking under the pig pile.
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Point out the ULL.
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Is this discussion over like 5-7 degrees? Thats not the difference between a great Saturday and a disaster lol.
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66F at BDL seems like the 57F could check out at your station.
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Straight shot on 89 to 93. Draw a line from like BOS to Stowe and the interstates are pretty close to that. Takes me a solid 4 to get to your hood at the Woodstock/Southbridge line. Gotta go 89 to 91 down to Springfield at the Pike then over.
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It does. It’s like 3 hours from my door to like Logan Airport but feels like it should be 6-8 hours haha.
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We’ve clawed our way out of the 40s… now 50F. I thought it was going to be nicer today. Everywhere else 15-20F warmer to the SE.
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Nailed it.
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How much rain you think you get? Quarter to half inch?
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What a disaster on the Euro for Saturday in NNE.
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It’s already up here. Turned to shit around noon.
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You guys were on fire with blowing sand last year in short term drought status... and that didn't stop the dews. Not sure the rain matters. It seems to be a steam bath more often than not these summers.
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I see DIT was confused by my statement and I wasn’t trying to undermine the deep summer claim… vegetation just looks different as it gets going. That light green is always an awesome time IMO… fresh. Not the deeper, dark green of a July forest. Just different variations throughout the warm season. Sometimes I think we use the deep summer phrase when we really mean “warm season.”
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Love the fresh light green look in the spring.
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Yeah it’s starting down at 750ft. We were 26F like 4-5 days ago. It’s been slow. Thats 1500ft up at work here. Im sure BTV area is going strong.
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Been miserable up here too… just reverse stick season. Wet, damp, cloudy. November with long daylight.
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That 6.88" in Prospect, CT is pretty impressive. 7.36" in Greene County, NY south of ALB... that area does large E/SE upslope. Pretty interesting upslope/downslope couplets from the Berkshires and Catskills. SE flow... high amounts up the east slope, then much less down the west slope, then increase again on the east side of the Catskills.
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The low level NE flow off the Atlantic is keeping the usual suspects cool and raw. 47F at ORH, and wet. SSE flow aloft, and NE flow underneath?
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I’ve never met him, but Jon Schaefer’s reputation is a guy who can get things done… within the financial constraints he operates within. He gets the core vibe too.
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Agreed. We'll see. The latest HRRR had this radar for 8pm, which doesn't look too far off. Not sure what to make of it, ha. I don't see on the radar the localized 1-1.5"+ amounts... need more convection that's not there. But then drops this by 5am.
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I think he was a bit higher… I had the 2-3 for DIT over the whole period (2” or more).
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Somewhere in SE CT should be pretty wet. GON with like 1.5” since midnight? I will say I expected some heavier rain rates in the higher DBZ cores. But no one is doing like the 1/2 - 1” in an hour type stuff.
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What year was that ridiculous May heat… was that 2020 or 2021? Like 95F at SLK at 1,600ft.
