nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Yeah, increasingly becoming likely Cumberland west to deep creek see ice warning criteria met. Dews are in the teens out there at onset with temps during the storm in the mid to upper 20s. Only positive is precious looks to be moderate to heavy at times which should limit the accretion. But still a potentially high impact event out there followed by upslope snow showers Friday night/Saturday.
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I’m taxiing waiting to take off at Reagan. I think I see LWX’s temp sensor behind our jet engine.
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Another gorgeous December sunrise.
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There’s still a storm signal in the east for that time frame. OPs will continue to fluctuate this far out. Can’t ask for more with that kind of cold nearby.
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All about expectations. It’s been an uphill battle for the coastal plain but there’s a shot at seeing some frozen at the start of it. N&W in the game for a mixed bag.
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Incoming on the GFS for the 23rd again.
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Re-posting here. 00Z GFS made a decent shift to a colder solution for the area.
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Started a thread for the Thursday/Friday deal since we’re ~78H from precip onset for parts of the forum.
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Threat of winter event for the area with precip arriving in parts of the subforum within 78 hours. Potential exists for an impactful event, especially in the western zones.
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That’s a pretty good shift on the GFS to more frozen across the area.
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We probably need a thread for Thursday since it’s in the MR and this can stay focused on the upcoming pattern and potential for threats around Christmas.
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GFS brings in precip in the overnight hours Wednesday into Thursday between 1a-4a. DPs in the teens across the area / temps in the upper 20s to low 30s, with a mixed bag of precip including freezing rain, sleet, and snow. this run is definitely more favorable to frozen precip in the area.
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Fantastic post. Also easy for dummies like me to comprehend.
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GFS and Euro both creeping up the start times too…now overnight Wednesday into Thursday.
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What a 2nd period by the Caps. That penalty shot by MJo was pretty.
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I remember doing an epic walk in the middle of the night while snow was puking. That WAA was fun.
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Regarding Thursday’s storm, one thing to keep an eye on regarding potential for icing are the dews. 18z Euro is showing DPs at 12 out in the mountains and teens/low 20s for the 81 corridor/N MD. This would lead to evaporational cooling as precip breaks out overnight Wednesday into Thursday.
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Not a bad signal for 12 days out. Also, the 500 NHEM loop on the 18z is .
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Nice weather for our neighborhood’s tree lighting, caroling, Santa visit for the kids earlier today. It was nice that it wasn’t 65 degrees either.
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GFS setting up again at the end of its run. What a weenie run.
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Sun angle starts increasing next week.
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That snow would have staying power with the advertised cold that will shift east at the end of December as @frd posted.
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The HP was actually strengthening as it was dropping south, too. Christmas-eve-eve snow breaking out in DC Friday morning. Moderate to heavy snow Friday afternoon. Yes, I’m doing PBP on a 280H+ run of the GFS OP. ETA: NS vort dropping down from the plains creates a low in the Great Lakes. GFS eventually has a low in the gulf, low off the Jersey coast, and a low in the Great Lakes. A window to certainly keep an eye on.
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GFS setting something up for the 23. 50/50 low, 1043 HP over Canada, system developing in the south.
