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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. nj2va
    I love how it’s November 26 and folks act like they know how December will go.
  2. nj2va
    Steadiest rain of the afternoon here. I’m glad I put up the Christmas decorations last weekend
  3. nj2va
    I think he likes the attention
  4. nj2va
    As mentioned earlier today, the -PNA is going to flood the CONUS with pac air and will take time to scour that out - which is why you see AN even with the favorable ATL. IMO, the PAC has been the bigger factor in our sucky winters of late because it was too hostile to overcome even with a favorable ATL. I’m more bullish this winter because it doesn’t look like we are going to be in a consistent -PNA. I disagree that “even perfect patterns have been too warm” - I think we just have had some bad luck with timing in some cases. Take the beach blizzards the eastern areas have gotten recently. Was it too warm? No, we were on the losing side of the setup/timing.
  5. nj2va
    Down to 33. Nice, cold night to get in a festive mood with the Christmas decorations up.
  6. nj2va
    Six minutes after this…
  7. nj2va
    Thanks for the forecast and posting it!
  8. nj2va
    Helps build snowpack in cold source regions.
  9. nj2va
    Happy thanksgiving y’all! I hope everyone has a wonderful day.
  10. nj2va
    2.2” in the nearby station gauges here. Great to see the high QPFs verify (and overperform).
  11. nj2va
    Chasing to the mountains does wonders for the snow fix. Have a great time! Get Blackwater Falls State Park sledding tickets now if you are interested - they sell out.
  12. nj2va
    “You can tell the pattern is setting in….I’m ready to give up”
  13. nj2va
    It already is on the brink of that on November 21.
  14. nj2va
    Moderate steady rainfall.
  15. nj2va
    3k NAM juiced up at 00z. Over 2” for good portion of the area.
  16. nj2va
    Yeah, I was referring to our house in McHenry.
  17. nj2va
    Hope there’s a surprise burst of snow/sleet tomorrow morning. 32/28 at the house in McHenry but toasty sitting next to the fire in Alexandria.
  18. nj2va
    STJ is open for business on the 18z GFS.
  19. nj2va
    There’s possibility of mixed precip/icing on Tuesday - highest chance is in western MD but there’s a possibility the 81 corridor sees a bit of icing so the map makes sense IMO.
  20. nj2va
    Every Thanksgiving we are either hosting at Deep Creek or out of town in NY with family so I can’t decorate Thanksgiving weekend. And with the time it takes to decorate for Christmas, I like to be able to enjoy for more than just a few weeks.
  21. nj2va
    Just finished putting up the Christmas lights/decorations outside. Just need some snow to finish the look
  22. nj2va
    00z GFS goes with a two part storm over the holiday and really brings the heavy rain to the area on Thanksgiving - with the colder air after the 2nd storm. El Niño QPF.
  23. nj2va
    1800DIALJI
  24. nj2va
    Burrow out for the season
  25. nj2va
    But what does PSU think? Has he gotten his first snowfall so we can uncancel the winter cancel based on how much he gets before winter starts?
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