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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. 12k flips DC at 12z with a little more than 0.4” QPF all snow. 3k at 12z - DC is just barely all snow but it charges north of the city by 13z. About 0.35” of all snow on the 3K…shaved a few hundredths from 12z.
  2. Oh for sure, just getting ready for the complaining.
  3. I just topped my Birdfy feeder but have an extra bag — feel free to stop by to take it
  4. Putting the NAMs to the side, it seems most guidance that I’ve seen (Euro, GFS, 18z HRRR, etc), suggests we flip between 14-15z with anywhere from 0.5-0.6” QPF by then. That’s a nice thump IMO. Even if we flip 13-14z, that’s still 0.5” QPF on the Euro.
  5. If we were staring at a 8-15” snowfall a few days ago and it morphed into a rainstorm 96 hours later, sure I’d get the gnashing of teeth. But this is going to be a high impact event of snow/sleet/freezing rain with temps in the teens/20s. We don’t get these events around here for a reason - we’re not interior New England lol
  6. Since you can tell the future, can you let me know the powerball numbers?
  7. Looks like about a 15z flip for DC on the GFS..assuming that we usually flip earlier than modeled (just like WAA precip starts earlier than modeled), its still a nice thump and I liked seeing it add ~0.1” QPF over 6z. Still like my 6-10”. Not sure why there’s such doom and gloom, it’s not like we’re staring down a rainstorm now.
  8. GFS is a bit more QPF in the thump over 6z. About 0.1” more in DC at H27. Waiting for sounding to come in to see when we’d flip but 0.7” QPF by 15z in DC.
  9. Low of 11 here and -8 at Deep Creek. It’s so nice not sweating high temps today.
  10. Heading to the gym then going to the grocery store - I must be a glutton for punishment. I’m sure they’ll have one onion, a half eaten piece of bread, and a carton of heavy cream left.
  11. We spent NYE at the Mt Washington hotel last year. Such a beautiful area up there, thankfully it wasn’t quite that cold
  12. 11/-9 and a whopping -7/-12 at Deep Creek. Euro was a beaut to wake up to.
  13. That Euro run is a thing of beauty for DC. Soundings suggest DC holds on until about 17z Sunday - and about 0.9” QPF has fallen already. LFG
  14. If that carries eastward, it would remove the lone model that’s really punching the mid level warmth way quicker/north than others. I know I’ll flip but a few extra hours will make a big difference.
  15. At this point, we should just close the other thread and have this be the main thread.
  16. Unless the NAMs stay stubborn tomorrow, I’m feeling good for a 6” floor for DC based on tonight’s globals.
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