We’re locked in for a warning-level event. Even the most south models have DC/VA Beltway 5”+. Upside of 10-12” if EVERYTHING breaks right including no mixing and ULL/coastal love.
Something to pay attention to within 24 hours on the meso models is the potential for the dual banding to set up…one south and another north like many Mets here have talked about.
GFS sort of shows this happening here.