nj2va

Looks like the Canadian twins suggest some snow TV with possible light accumulations in northern MD.

Latest LWX discussion: Low clouds should hold strong through much of the day tomorrow, but it will remain mild, with high temperatures in the 60s for most. Later tomorrow through the remainder of the week, attention will turn to a potent system approaching from the north and west. A broad, deepening upper low will dive southeastward from the Northern Plains toward the Great Lakes during the day tomorrow. A prominent shortwave on the leading edge of the much broader upper low will move overhead tomorrow evening, driving a strong cold front through the area during the late afternoon and evening hours. Showers should develop to the west of the Blue Ridge during the afternoon, and may strengthen into a squall line to the east of the Blue Ridge tomorrow evening. Any convection would be rather low topped in nature, but a few rumbles of thunder could be possible tomorrow evening. The wind field ahead of the line isn`t strong at all, so any gusts produced by the line would likely be sub-severe. However, there is a strong surge of wind within cold advection behind the front. Winds may briefly approach Wind Advisory criteria for a few hours behind the front, especially along the ridgetops. Some showers may linger for a few hours behind the front, but should rapidly come to an end as conditions dry out during the second half of the night. There will be a lull in the precipitation Thursday morning as the first shortwave and its associated synoptic scale forcing for ascent lifts off to our northeast. Daytime heating will allow limited instability to develop within the boundary layer. As a result, snow showers will start to develop in the mountains within upslope flow during the afternoon hours and continue on and off through the night. The snow showers could be quite squally in nature during the afternoon and early evening hours, with instability extending up into the dendritic growth zone. Several inches of snow may be possible with this first round of snow. Winter Storm Watches go into effect along the Allegheny Front starting at 1 PM Thursday and continue through Saturday afternoon. To the east of the mountains, much of the day will remain dry, but a few mixed rain/snow/graupel showers may be possible during the afternoon. Temperatures will hold in the 30s in the mountains, with high temperatures in the 40s to near 50 further east. Latest LWX forecast through 7a Saturday (likely more snow to come for the mountains).

Thanks! Only thing is I wish it was easier to navigate on mobile.

Anyone use Pivotal as their paid model site? Thinking of using them this year.

Yep that was epic. If you’re truly looking to maximize, probably Snowshoe but IMO the distance isn’t worth the extra few inches of snow over a place like Canaan. If Wisp gets 10-12”, Canaan would probably get 14-16” in a setup like this - whereas Snowshoe could get 15-18” (not what I’m actually predicting just saying in general with these setups). Never rented in Canaan but found this https://canaanrealty.com also this option: https://www.canaanresort.com/resort/?gad_source=1&gbraid=0AAAAAD2oRLvAtp_j50yVzFzwqGLJWLL7X&gclid=Cj0KCQiAi_G5BhDXARIsAN5SX7opTmll1s5I8cvLdTbV_bNREnctTOG8AW00vpIq9rfku5le7hvvv0waAv7hEALw_wcB The hotel in the state park

Driving out around 3p Friday, crossing into the county on 68 should be night/day from Frostburg.

2 more Ovi goals but an apparent lower body injury. this team is rolling so far. Great chemistry.

Unfortunately, still working at this hour but took a break and just checked 18z GFS: 12-20" for the mountains...Snowshoe is going to do really well.

Heyooooo URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 225 PM EST Mon Nov 18 2024 MDZ001-VAZ503-WVZ501-503-505-190330- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0009.241121T1800Z-241124T0000Z/ Garrett-Western Highland-Western Grant-Western Mineral-Western Pendleton- 225 PM EST Mon Nov 18 2024 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches are possible with locally higher amounts along the ridgetops. Winds could gust as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...In Maryland, Garrett County. In Virginia, Western Highland County. In West Virginia, Western Grant, Western Mineral, and Western Pendleton Counties. * WHEN...From Thursday afternoon through Saturday evening. * IMPACTS...Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile at times due to falling and blowing snow. This may lead to whiteout conditions and may make travel difficult. The strong winds and weight of snow on tree limbs may down power lines and could cause sporadic power outages.

Hattie! 29 to go @Chris78

Also, 2 more Ovi goals. Now 30 from the record. Let’s go!!

If you book through a rental agency, you’d be fine, but it’s a valid concern IMO. Our house is on a road not maintained by the county and is gravel. From the county maintained road to our house, it’s a 300+ foot elevation climb. We pay to have it plowed and even with an SUV/snow tires, there’s been big storms where we couldn’t get out without a plow. But rental agencies will help make sure it’s plowed even if a private road.

lol at da Bears

I’m getting excited for the Friday/Saturday as that’s a pretty classic setup for a good upslope event, especially as energy rotates around the ULL through the mountains.

Giddy giddy Heading up into the mountains, guidance continues to favor a multi- day period of snow showers along the Allegheny Front. The initial activity through Wednesday night will be comprised of rain showers. However, rapid cooling of the column ensues as the cold upper low tracks overhead. Strong ascent combined with favorable orographic effects should yield ample opportunity for moderate to heavy snow showers, particularly on Thursday into Friday. The snow combined with the blustery winds may lead to significant reductions in visibility and hazardous travel conditions. Continue to monitor the latest forecast at weather.gov/lwx. Heading into the weekend, upslope snow showers likely persist given cyclonic flow aloft persists. This would add to any snowpack already on the ground. From Thursday onward, daily highs largely stay in the low to mid 30s, accompanied by low temperatures in the mid 20s to low 30s.

Even if they get a foot of snow with this system, I highly doubt they are able to actually open this month. It could allow them to open earlier than expected in December if a favorable pattern develops but they need consistent cold nights (at least) to make snow to create a base.

Congrats! Impressive feat to run a marathon

Christmas morning will be spent mowing the lawn!

Nice day out there today and appreciate the wind blowing more leaves off the trees. Time to hang out on the patio and watch college football.

34 low this morning. Currently 38.

No, we don’t rent out but heading up there this weekend. You definitely gotta chase there/WV for a good event this winter. Helps cope with the snow drought here.

Wisp cam too but it’s a rain/snow mix.

Up in Maine / New Hampshire for the week. Currently in Kennebunkport, high was 51, and raining/49 degrees. Quite the shock to the body with these temps.

Wow, great pics. I can’t see from the naked eye here but see some pink through my camera, but too much light pollution. Pics from family in NH and NY are pretty too.

I hope this things fall apart. Not sure why this forum gets a hard on for catastrophic destruction.